AL · Northeast

Alagoas in presidential elections

Solid left

Lean index: −19.97pts; Weighted average of the gap between the state margin and the national margin over the last four runoffs. Positive = leans right.
Share of the electorate: 1.53%; State valid votes over the national total, latest round available.
Bloc switches: 1; Between consecutive elections of the 1989–2026 series (10 elections; round 2 where there was one).
Swing state: No; Changed bloc ≥3 times in 10 elections, or lean index < 8 pts.

Right − left margin by election

Decisive round of each year (runoff where there was one). Dashed line: Brazil. Red dots: left ahead; blue dots: right ahead.

All elections

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)60.77% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)39.23%	−21.54 pts	Left bloc
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.73% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)40.45% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.33% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.48% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.78% Samara (UP)0.07% Zema (NOVO)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−14.36 pts	Left bloc
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)58.68% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.32%	−17.36 pts	Left bloc
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)56.50% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)36.05% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.91% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.53% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.62% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.18% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.14% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−18.20 pts	Left bloc
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)59.92% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)40.08%	−19.84 pts	Left bloc
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)44.75% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)34.40% Ciro Gomes (PDT)10.12% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.81% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.86% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.24% Marina Silva (REDE)1.03% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.76% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.58% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.33% Vera (PSTU)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.03%	−13.11 pts	Left bloc
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)62.11% Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.89%	−24.22 pts	Left bloc
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)49.93% Marina Silva (PSB)25.31% Aécio Neves (PSDB)22.12% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.08% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.60% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.50% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.25% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−53.47 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)53.63% José Serra (PSDB)46.37%	−7.27 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)50.92% José Serra (PSDB)36.46% Marina Silva (PV)11.50% Plínio (PSOL)0.80% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.13% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−26.71 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)61.45% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)38.55%	−22.89 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.63% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)37.79% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)13.32% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.03% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−23.95 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)56.39% Lula (PT)43.61%	+12.79 pts	Right bloc
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)29.25% Lula (PT)28.60% Garotinho (PSB)26.11% Ciro (PPS)15.70% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.31% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−41.51 pts	Left bloc
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)54.79% Lula (PT)22.42% Ciro Gomes (PPS)20.36% Enéas (PRONA)0.92% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.56% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19% Sirkis (PV)0.18% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.16% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.15% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.13% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	+12.25 pts	Right bloc
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)76.18% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.32% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.52% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.58% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.00% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.96% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.92% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.52%	+73.51 pts	Right bloc
1989 12/17/1989	Round 2	Collor (PRN)76.07% Lula (PT)23.93%	+52.13 pts	Right bloc
1989 11/15/1989	Round 1	Collor (PRN)64.38% Lula (PT)8.85% Mario Covas (PSDB)7.81% Brizola (PDT)7.32% +18 more Afif (PL)3.12% Aureliano Chaves (PFL)1.24% P.G. (PP)1.08% Maluf (PDS)1.07% Ulysses Guimaraes (PMDB)1.06% Roberto Freire (PCB)0.66% Livia Maria (PN)0.61% Affonso Camargo (PTB)0.48% Eneas (PRONA)0.39% Eudes Mattar (PLP)0.34% Marronzinho (PSP)0.34% Zamir (PCN)0.28% Gabeira (PV)0.23% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.21% Pedreira (PPB)0.18% Manoel Horta (PDCdoB)0.18% Celso Brant (PMN)0.16% Correa (PMB)0.00%	+49.28 pts	Right bloc

Bloc changes in the series (10 elections)

Each item is an election in which the bloc ahead in the state differed from the previous election; the round used is in parentheses.

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc