AM · North

Amazonas in presidential elections

Lean leftSwing

Swing state because it changed bloc 3× in 10 elections · lean index below 8 pts (Lean left).

Lean index: −6.52pts; Weighted average of the gap between the state margin and the national margin over the last four runoffs. Positive = leans right.
Share of the electorate: 1.71%; State valid votes over the national total, latest round available.
Bloc switches: 3; Between consecutive elections of the 1989–2026 series (10 elections; round 2 where there was one).
Swing state: Yes; Changed bloc ≥3 times in 10 elections, or lean index < 8 pts.

Right − left margin by election

Decisive round of each year (runoff where there was one). Dashed line: Brazil. Red dots: left ahead; blue dots: right ahead.

All elections

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.02% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.98%	−8.04 pts	Left bloc
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.23% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.00% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.57% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.63% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.30% Samara (UP)0.09% Zema (NOVO)0.08% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−3.86 pts	Left bloc
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.10% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.90%	−2.20 pts	Left bloc
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.58% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.80% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.23% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.16% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.83% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.25% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−3.62 pts	Left bloc
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.27% Fernando Haddad (PT)49.73%	+0.54 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)43.48% Fernando Haddad (PT)40.30% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.50% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.68% +9 more Marina Silva (REDE)1.58% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.57% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.45% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.26% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.60% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.46% Eymael (DC)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	−0.07 pts	Left bloc
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.00% Aécio Neves (PSDB)35.00%	−29.99 pts	Left bloc
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)54.51% Marina Silva (PSB)21.54% Aécio Neves (PSDB)19.43% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)2.54% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.95% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.61% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.26% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−54.76 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)80.57% José Serra (PSDB)19.43%	−61.14 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)64.98% Marina Silva (PV)25.71% José Serra (PSDB)8.47% Plínio (PSOL)0.59% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−82.79 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)86.80% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)13.20%	−73.60 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)78.06% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.45% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.60% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.65% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	−74.62 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)69.88% José Serra (PSDB)30.12%	−39.77 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)47.73% Garotinho (PSB)22.41% José Serra (PSDB)14.95% Ciro (PPS)14.41% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.47% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−70.09 pts	Left bloc
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)54.68% Lula (PT)25.58% Ciro Gomes (PPS)15.58% Enéas (PRONA)1.95% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.40% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.33% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.33% Eymael (PSDC)0.33% Sirkis (PV)0.30% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.26% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.15% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.12%	+15.08 pts	Right bloc
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)60.50% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)23.26% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)8.57% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.48% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.34% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.86% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.54% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.46%	+51.76 pts	Right bloc
1989 12/17/1989	Round 2	Collor (PRN)66.79% Lula (PT)33.21%	+33.58 pts	Right bloc
1989 11/15/1989	Round 1	Collor (PRN)50.49% Lula (PT)21.05% Afif (PL)6.13% Mario Covas (PSDB)6.11% +18 more Brizola (PDT)4.39% Maluf (PDS)4.17% Ulysses Guimaraes (PMDB)2.90% Roberto Freire (PCB)0.80% Affonso Camargo (PTB)0.60% Aureliano Chaves (PFL)0.58% Eneas (PRONA)0.48% Livia Maria (PN)0.35% Marronzinho (PSP)0.33% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.30% P.G. (PP)0.26% Zamir (PCN)0.25% Celso Brant (PMN)0.22% Gabeira (PV)0.18% Eudes Mattar (PLP)0.18% Manoel Horta (PDCdoB)0.13% Pedreira (PPB)0.12% Correa (PMB)0.00%	+33.87 pts	Right bloc

Bloc changes in the series (10 elections)

Each item is an election in which the bloc ahead in the state differed from the previous election; the round used is in parentheses.

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc