DF · Center-West

Distrito Federal in presidential elections

Solid rightSwing

Swing state because it changed bloc 4× in 10 elections.

Lean index: +19.32pts; Weighted average of the gap between the state margin and the national margin over the last four runoffs. Positive = leans right.
Share of the electorate: 1.46%; State valid votes over the national total, latest round available.
Bloc switches: 4; Between consecutive elections of the 1989–2026 series (10 elections; round 2 where there was one).
Swing state: Yes; Changed bloc ≥3 times in 10 elections, or lean index < 8 pts.

Right − left margin by election

Decisive round of each year (runoff where there was one). Dashed line: Brazil. Red dots: left ahead; blue dots: right ahead.

All elections

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.28% Lula (PT)45.72%	+8.55 pts	Right bloc
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.31% Lula (PT)38.11% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)4.80% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.64% +8 more Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.59% Zema (NOVO)0.28% Samara (UP)0.13% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05% Clariana Barao (DC)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02%	+18.16 pts	Right bloc
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)58.81% Lula (PT)41.19%	+17.62 pts	Right bloc
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)51.65% Lula (PT)36.85% Simone Tebet (MDB)5.98% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.22% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.59% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.45% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09% Léo Péricles (UP)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.03%	+17.57 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)69.99% Fernando Haddad (PT)30.01%	+39.97 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.37% Ciro Gomes (PDT)16.60% Fernando Haddad (PT)11.87% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.34% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.80% Marina Silva (REDE)2.00% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.68% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.68% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.82% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.69% Vera (PSTU)0.06% Eymael (DC)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%	+37.22 pts	Right bloc
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)61.90% Dilma (PT)38.10%	+23.80 pts	Right bloc
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.11% Marina Silva (PSB)35.78% Dilma (PT)23.03% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.99% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)1.23% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.97% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.64% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−24.40 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)52.81% José Serra (PSDB)47.19%	−5.62 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Marina Silva (PV)41.96% Dilma (PT)31.74% José Serra (PSDB)24.30% Plínio (PSOL)1.65% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.15% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−50.94 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.96% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)43.04%	−13.91 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)44.11% Lula (PT)37.05% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)12.27% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)6.15% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.18% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.13% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.11%	−10.95 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.26% José Serra (PSDB)37.74%	−24.51 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.07% Garotinho (PSB)18.29% José Serra (PSDB)16.75% Ciro (PPS)15.27% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.55% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.07%	−66.50 pts	Left bloc
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)40.45% Lula (PT)29.73% Ciro Gomes (PPS)27.49% Enéas (PRONA)1.35% +8 more Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.23% Sirkis (PV)0.18% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.15% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.14% Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.05% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.05%	−15.35 pts	Left bloc
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)44.76% Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)38.69% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.73% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.60% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)2.10% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.36% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.43% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.32%	+7.75 pts	Right bloc
1989 12/17/1989	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.68% Collor (PRN)37.32%	−25.37 pts	Left bloc
1989 11/15/1989	Round 1	Lula (PT)29.06% Collor (PRN)22.75% Mario Covas (PSDB)17.81% Brizola (PDT)9.44% +18 more Afif (PL)6.33% Maluf (PDS)4.13% Ulysses Guimaraes (PMDB)3.45% Roberto Freire (PCB)3.27% Aureliano Chaves (PFL)0.97% Affonso Camargo (PTB)0.89% Eneas (PRONA)0.40% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.40% Marronzinho (PSP)0.23% Livia Maria (PN)0.15% Celso Brant (PMN)0.15% Zamir (PCN)0.12% Gabeira (PV)0.11% P.G. (PP)0.11% Eudes Mattar (PLP)0.10% Pedreira (PPB)0.07% Manoel Horta (PDCdoB)0.05% Correa (PMB)0.00%	−20.15 pts	Left bloc

Bloc changes in the series (10 elections)

Each item is an election in which the bloc ahead in the state differed from the previous election; the round used is in parentheses.

1994(Round 1)·Left bloc→Right bloc
1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc