GO · Center-West

Goiás in presidential elections

Solid rightSwing

Swing state because it changed bloc 4× in 10 elections.

Lean index: +20.83pts; Weighted average of the gap between the state margin and the national margin over the last four runoffs. Positive = leans right.
Share of the electorate: 3.17%; State valid votes over the national total, latest round available.
Bloc switches: 4; Between consecutive elections of the 1989–2026 series (10 elections; round 2 where there was one).
Swing state: Yes; Changed bloc ≥3 times in 10 elections, or lean index < 8 pts.

Right − left margin by election

Decisive round of each year (runoff where there was one). Dashed line: Brazil. Red dots: left ahead; blue dots: right ahead.

All elections

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)59.66% Lula (PT)40.34%	+19.33 pts	Right bloc
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.60% Lula (PT)31.06% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)12.33% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.41% +8 more Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.41% Zema (NOVO)0.07% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+34.89 pts	Right bloc
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)58.71% Lula (PT)41.29%	+17.43 pts	Right bloc
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)52.16% Lula (PT)39.51% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.64% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.46% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.78% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.30% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	+15.90 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)65.52% Fernando Haddad (PT)34.48%	+31.04 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)57.24% Fernando Haddad (PT)21.86% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.60% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.49% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.78% João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.14% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.02% Marina Silva (REDE)0.88% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.48% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.42% Eymael (DC)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+36.38 pts	Right bloc
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)57.11% Dilma (PT)42.89%	+14.23 pts	Right bloc
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)41.55% Dilma (PT)32.09% Marina Silva (PSB)23.90% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.94% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.59% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.38% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.38% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−14.83 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)50.75% Dilma (PT)49.25%	+1.50 pts	Right bloc
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)42.23% José Serra (PSDB)39.48% Marina Silva (PV)17.18% Plínio (PSOL)0.84% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−20.74 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.78% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.22%	−9.56 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)51.50% Lula (PT)40.17% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.29% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.81% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.14% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	+3.47 pts	Right bloc
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.08% José Serra (PSDB)42.92%	−14.15 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)42.10% José Serra (PSDB)27.91% Garotinho (PSB)19.41% Ciro (PPS)10.20% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.35% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−44.18 pts	Left bloc
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)65.96% Lula (PT)19.62% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.35% Enéas (PRONA)1.81% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.47% Sirkis (PV)0.39% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.36% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.29% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.27% Eymael (PSDC)0.19% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.15% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.13%	+37.02 pts	Right bloc
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)67.48% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)18.60% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)6.20% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.37% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.91% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.78% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.40% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.26%	+61.25 pts	Right bloc
1989 12/17/1989	Round 2	Collor (PRN)68.44% Lula (PT)31.56%	+36.88 pts	Right bloc
1989 11/15/1989	Round 1	Collor (PRN)45.39% Lula (PT)16.86% Ulysses Guimaraes (PMDB)8.89% Afif (PL)6.32% +18 more Mario Covas (PSDB)5.74% Maluf (PDS)4.54% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)4.41% Brizola (PDT)3.96% Roberto Freire (PCB)0.55% Aureliano Chaves (PFL)0.50% Eneas (PRONA)0.47% Affonso Camargo (PTB)0.43% Marronzinho (PSP)0.30% Zamir (PCN)0.30% Eudes Mattar (PLP)0.29% Livia Maria (PN)0.28% P.G. (PP)0.23% Celso Brant (PMN)0.17% Gabeira (PV)0.15% Pedreira (PPB)0.12% Manoel Horta (PDCdoB)0.11% Correa (PMB)0.00%	+44.56 pts	Right bloc

Bloc changes in the series (10 elections)

Each item is an election in which the bloc ahead in the state differed from the previous election; the round used is in parentheses.

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc