PE · Northeast

Pernambuco in presidential elections

Solid left

Lean index: −35.92pts; Weighted average of the gap between the state margin and the national margin over the last four runoffs. Positive = leans right.
Share of the electorate: 4.80%; State valid votes over the national total, latest round available.
Bloc switches: 3; Between consecutive elections of the 1989–2026 series (10 elections; round 2 where there was one).
Swing state: No; Changed bloc ≥3 times in 10 elections, or lean index < 8 pts.

Right − left margin by election

Decisive round of each year (runoff where there was one). Dashed line: Brazil. Red dots: left ahead; blue dots: right ahead.

All elections

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)69.21% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)30.79%	−38.41 pts	Left bloc
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)63.45% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)31.03% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.46% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.53% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.31% Zema (NOVO)0.11% Samara (UP)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−32.00 pts	Left bloc
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.93% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)33.07%	−33.86 pts	Left bloc
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)65.27% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)29.91% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.38% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.77% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.38% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.16% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−35.43 pts	Left bloc
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)66.50% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)33.50%	−33.01 pts	Left bloc
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)48.87% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)30.57% Ciro Gomes (PDT)13.56% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.98% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.65% Marina Silva (REDE)0.98% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.98% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.68% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.44% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.21% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	−27.83 pts	Left bloc
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)70.19% Aécio Neves (PSDB)29.81%	−40.39 pts	Left bloc
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Marina Silva (PSB)48.05% Dilma (PT)44.21% Aécio Neves (PSDB)5.93% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.84% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.33% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.28% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.24% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−86.96 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)75.65% José Serra (PSDB)24.35%	−51.29 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.74% Marina Silva (PV)20.30% José Serra (PSDB)17.37% Plínio (PSOL)0.39% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−65.06 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)78.48% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)21.52%	−56.97 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)70.93% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)22.86% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.74% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.14% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.15% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	−53.64 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.07% José Serra (PSDB)42.93%	−14.13 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.44% José Serra (PSDB)28.45% Garotinho (PSB)18.25% Ciro (PPS)6.59% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.25% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−43.10 pts	Left bloc
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)57.22% Lula (PT)31.14% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.41% Enéas (PRONA)1.13% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.65% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.49% Eymael (PSDC)0.45% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.41% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.33% Sirkis (PV)0.29% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.25% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.22%	+19.21 pts	Right bloc
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)53.81% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)36.99% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.86% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.45% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.14% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.78% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.59% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.38%	+23.74 pts	Right bloc
1989 12/17/1989	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.90% Collor (PRN)49.10%	−1.80 pts	Left bloc
1989 11/15/1989	Round 1	Collor (PRN)37.74% Lula (PT)33.61% Brizola (PDT)9.39% Mario Covas (PSDB)3.58% +18 more Roberto Freire (PCB)3.49% Ulysses Guimaraes (PMDB)3.18% Afif (PL)2.48% Maluf (PDS)1.54% Aureliano Chaves (PFL)0.69% Eudes Mattar (PLP)0.53% P.G. (PP)0.53% Marronzinho (PSP)0.51% Eneas (PRONA)0.51% Zamir (PCN)0.49% Affonso Camargo (PTB)0.40% Livia Maria (PN)0.35% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.30% Gabeira (PV)0.20% Pedreira (PPB)0.16% Celso Brant (PMN)0.15% Manoel Horta (PDCdoB)0.14% Correa (PMB)0.00%	−1.87 pts	Left bloc

Bloc changes in the series (10 elections)

Each item is an election in which the bloc ahead in the state differed from the previous election; the round used is in parentheses.

1989(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
1994(Round 1)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc