RR · North

Roraima in presidential elections

Solid right

Lean index: +44.26pts; Weighted average of the gap between the state margin and the national margin over the last four runoffs. Positive = leans right.
Share of the electorate: 0.24%; State valid votes over the national total, latest round available.
Bloc switches: 2; Between consecutive elections of the 1989–2026 series (10 elections; round 2 where there was one).
Swing state: No; Changed bloc ≥3 times in 10 elections, or lean index < 8 pts.

Right − left margin by election

Decisive round of each year (runoff where there was one). Dashed line: Brazil. Red dots: left ahead; blue dots: right ahead.

All elections

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)72.46% Lula (PT)27.54%	+44.91 pts	Right bloc
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)71.06% Lula (PT)22.86% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.64% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.03% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.12% Zema (NOVO)0.10% Samara (UP)0.09% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+48.75 pts	Right bloc
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)76.08% Lula (PT)23.92%	+52.16 pts	Right bloc
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)69.57% Lula (PT)23.05% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.34% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.25% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.38% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.27% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	+49.28 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)71.55% Fernando Haddad (PT)28.45%	+43.10 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)62.97% Fernando Haddad (PT)17.85% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.95% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.36% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.56% Marina Silva (REDE)1.48% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.24% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.06% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.88% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.53% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (DC)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+48.70 pts	Right bloc
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.92% Dilma (PT)41.08%	+17.85 pts	Right bloc
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)43.63% Dilma (PT)33.17% Marina Silva (PSB)18.83% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)2.08% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.13% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.51% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.31% Eymael (PSDC)0.21% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−7.15 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)66.56% Dilma (PT)33.44%	+33.13 pts	Right bloc
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)51.03% Dilma (PT)28.72% Marina Silva (PV)18.77% Plínio (PSOL)1.07% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.19% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.12% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	+2.67 pts	Right bloc
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)61.49% Lula (PT)38.51%	+22.99 pts	Right bloc
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)59.73% Lula (PT)26.15% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)11.66% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.09% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.24% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	+20.20 pts	Right bloc
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)65.55% José Serra (PSDB)34.45%	−31.11 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.97% Garotinho (PSB)24.98% Ciro (PPS)17.54% José Serra (PSDB)12.00% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.43% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.09%	−76.01 pts	Left bloc
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)61.92% Lula (PT)17.78% Ciro Gomes (PPS)17.38% Enéas (PRONA)2.03% +8 more Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.38% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.15% Sirkis (PV)0.10% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.10% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.04% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	+28.86 pts	Right bloc
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)71.64% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)13.66% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)8.63% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.65% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.55% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.29% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.32% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.25%	+69.57 pts	Right bloc
1989 12/17/1989	Round 2	Collor (PRN)76.35% Lula (PT)23.65%	+52.70 pts	Right bloc
1989 11/15/1989	Round 1	Collor (PRN)59.72% Lula (PT)10.07% Brizola (PDT)9.47% Mario Covas (PSDB)5.47% +18 more Afif (PL)4.19% Ulysses Guimaraes (PMDB)2.95% Maluf (PDS)2.56% Aureliano Chaves (PFL)0.85% Affonso Camargo (PTB)0.77% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.67% Roberto Freire (PCB)0.63% P.G. (PP)0.40% Eneas (PRONA)0.39% Marronzinho (PSP)0.34% Livia Maria (PN)0.33% Zamir (PCN)0.24% Celso Brant (PMN)0.24% Gabeira (PV)0.22% Eudes Mattar (PLP)0.17% Manoel Horta (PDCdoB)0.16% Pedreira (PPB)0.15% Correa (PMB)0.00%	+47.13 pts	Right bloc

Bloc changes in the series (10 elections)

Each item is an election in which the bloc ahead in the state differed from the previous election; the round used is in parentheses.

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc