SC · South

Santa Catarina in presidential elections

Solid right

Lean index: +40.63pts; Weighted average of the gap between the state margin and the national margin over the last four runoffs. Positive = leans right.
Share of the electorate: 3.74%; State valid votes over the national total, latest round available.
Bloc switches: 3; Between consecutive elections of the 1989–2026 series (10 elections; round 2 where there was one).
Swing state: No; Changed bloc ≥3 times in 10 elections, or lean index < 8 pts.

Right − left margin by election

Decisive round of each year (runoff where there was one). Dashed line: Brazil. Red dots: left ahead; blue dots: right ahead.

All elections

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)69.42% Lula (PT)30.58%	+38.84 pts	Right bloc
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)66.65% Lula (PT)25.04% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.98% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.95% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.78% Zema (NOVO)0.37% Samara (UP)0.11% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%	+43.59 pts	Right bloc
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)69.27% Lula (PT)30.73%	+38.54 pts	Right bloc
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)62.21% Lula (PT)29.54% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.42% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.05% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)1.13% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.46% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	+36.63 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)75.92% Fernando Haddad (PT)24.08%	+51.84 pts	Right bloc
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)65.82% Fernando Haddad (PT)15.13% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.68% João Amoêdo (NOVO)4.01% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.89% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.31% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.31% Marina Silva (REDE)0.65% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.57% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.54% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02% Eymael (DC)0.02%	+53.85 pts	Right bloc
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)64.60% Dilma (PT)35.40%	+29.20 pts	Right bloc
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)52.90% Dilma (PT)30.74% Marina Silva (PSB)12.83% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.44% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.81% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.64% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.42% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+8.03 pts	Right bloc
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)56.61% Dilma (PT)43.39%	+13.21 pts	Right bloc
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)45.77% Dilma (PT)38.71% Marina Silva (PV)13.99% Plínio (PSOL)1.23% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−8.15 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)54.53% Lula (PT)45.47%	+9.07 pts	Right bloc
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)56.61% Lula (PT)33.22% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.60% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.29% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.16% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.06%	+13.76 pts	Right bloc
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)64.14% José Serra (PSDB)35.86%	−28.28 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)56.60% José Serra (PSDB)23.28% Garotinho (PSB)12.30% Ciro (PPS)7.16% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.61% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−53.45 pts	Left bloc
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)49.43% Lula (PT)36.61% Ciro Gomes (PPS)9.95% Enéas (PRONA)2.17% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.35% Sirkis (PV)0.35% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.28% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.23% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.21% Eymael (PSDC)0.19% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.12% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.12%	+4.51 pts	Right bloc
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)33.20% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)26.55% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)21.77% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)8.07% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)6.85% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)2.85% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.38% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.33%	+41.20 pts	Right bloc
1989 12/17/1989	Round 2	Collor (PRN)50.32% Lula (PT)49.68%	+0.64 pts	Right bloc
1989 11/15/1989	Round 1	Brizola (PDT)26.22% Collor (PRN)23.52% Lula (PT)10.58% Ulysses Guimaraes (PMDB)10.07% +18 more Maluf (PDS)9.79% Afif (PL)8.58% Mario Covas (PSDB)7.38% Roberto Freire (PCB)0.58% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.53% Affonso Camargo (PTB)0.53% Eneas (PRONA)0.44% Aureliano Chaves (PFL)0.42% Marronzinho (PSP)0.25% Zamir (PCN)0.17% Gabeira (PV)0.17% Celso Brant (PMN)0.17% Livia Maria (PN)0.17% P.G. (PP)0.12% Pedreira (PPB)0.11% Manoel Horta (PDCdoB)0.10% Eudes Mattar (PLP)0.09% Correa (PMB)0.00%	+9.29 pts	Right bloc

Bloc changes in the series (10 elections)

Each item is an election in which the bloc ahead in the state differed from the previous election; the round used is in parentheses.

1989(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc