SE · Northeast

Sergipe in presidential elections

Solid left

Lean index: −36.12pts; Weighted average of the gap between the state margin and the national margin over the last four runoffs. Positive = leans right.
Share of the electorate: 1.15%; State valid votes over the national total, latest round available.
Bloc switches: 1; Between consecutive elections of the 1989–2026 series (10 elections; round 2 where there was one).
Swing state: No; Changed bloc ≥3 times in 10 elections, or lean index < 8 pts.

Right − left margin by election

Decisive round of each year (runoff where there was one). Dashed line: Brazil. Red dots: left ahead; blue dots: right ahead.

All elections

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)69.53% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)30.47%	−39.07 pts	Left bloc
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)62.75% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)30.63% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.85% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.95% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.57% Zema (NOVO)0.08% Samara (UP)0.07% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−31.44 pts	Left bloc
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)67.21% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)32.79%	−34.41 pts	Left bloc
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)63.82% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)29.16% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.24% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.10% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.34% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.17% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%	−34.06 pts	Left bloc
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)67.54% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)32.46%	−35.07 pts	Left bloc
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)50.09% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)27.21% Ciro Gomes (PDT)13.02% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.03% +9 more Marina Silva (REDE)1.39% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.23% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.81% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.77% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.70% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.39% Vera (PSTU)0.27% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.06% Eymael (DC)0.02%	−31.07 pts	Left bloc
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)66.99% Aécio Neves (PSDB)33.01%	−33.98 pts	Left bloc
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)54.91% Aécio Neves (PSDB)22.70% Marina Silva (PSB)18.56% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.71% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.17% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.34% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.34% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.16% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−50.43 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)53.56% José Serra (PSDB)46.44%	−7.12 pts	Left bloc
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)47.67% José Serra (PSDB)38.05% Marina Silva (PV)13.26% Plínio (PSOL)0.66% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.12% Eymael (PSDC)0.08% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−23.60 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)60.16% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.84%	−20.31 pts	Left bloc
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)47.33% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)44.36% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.21% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.78% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.19% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.06%	−10.66 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.50% José Serra (PSDB)42.50%	−15.00 pts	Left bloc
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.27% José Serra (PSDB)19.85% Garotinho (PSB)18.72% Ciro (PPS)16.58% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.54% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−60.29 pts	Left bloc
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)47.37% Lula (PT)35.31% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.35% Enéas (PRONA)1.83% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.09% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.68% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.52% Sirkis (PV)0.43% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.36% Eymael (PSDC)0.35% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.35% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.35%	+1.22 pts	Right bloc
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)47.37% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)36.94% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)6.17% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.77% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.66% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.96% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.66% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.47%	+22.79 pts	Right bloc
1989 12/17/1989	Round 2	Collor (PRN)65.89% Lula (PT)34.11%	+31.79 pts	Right bloc
1989 11/15/1989	Round 1	Collor (PRN)50.81% Lula (PT)18.19% Brizola (PDT)9.39% Mario Covas (PSDB)6.65% +18 more Maluf (PDS)3.97% Ulysses Guimaraes (PMDB)2.05% Afif (PL)1.64% Aureliano Chaves (PFL)1.07% Roberto Freire (PCB)1.03% Marronzinho (PSP)0.95% P.G. (PP)0.76% Livia Maria (PN)0.55% Eneas (PRONA)0.49% Affonso Camargo (PTB)0.48% Zamir (PCN)0.39% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.35% Eudes Mattar (PLP)0.33% Gabeira (PV)0.27% Pedreira (PPB)0.22% Celso Brant (PMN)0.21% Manoel Horta (PDCdoB)0.20% Correa (PMB)0.00%	+26.61 pts	Right bloc

Bloc changes in the series (10 elections)

Each item is an election in which the bloc ahead in the state differed from the previous election; the round used is in parentheses.

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc