BA · Ilhéus ¿ Itabuna immediate region

Aurelino Leal: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Aurelino Leal with 72.93% of valid votes against 27.07% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 45.86 points, 42.29 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −50.43pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 9,614; 307th largest electorate in Bahia
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Bahia

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Aurelino Leal−45.86 pts
Bahia−42.63 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)72.93% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)27.07%	−45.86 pts	Left bloc	76.96%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)67.14% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)28.05% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.61% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.06% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.89% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.06% Samara (UP)0.06% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.04% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Zema (NOVO)0.03% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−39.82 pts	Left bloc	75.10%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)74.78% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)25.22%	−49.55 pts	Left bloc	73.43%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)72.03% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)22.90% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.39% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.78% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.65% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.07% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.07% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01%	−47.83 pts	Left bloc	74.34%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)80.23% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)19.77%	−60.46 pts	Left bloc	73.83%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)70.24% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)17.95% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.80% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.80% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.63% Marina Silva (REDE)0.43% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.40% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.35% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.18% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.14% Eymael (DC)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	−55.71 pts	Left bloc	76.29%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)76.85% Aécio Neves (PSDB)23.15%	−53.70 pts	Left bloc	82.16%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)70.61% Marina Silva (PSB)17.98% Aécio Neves (PSDB)9.47% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.04% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.59% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.16% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.03% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%	−78.60 pts	Left bloc	82.51%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)79.95% José Serra (PSDB)20.05%	−59.90 pts	Left bloc	59.50%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)72.52% José Serra (PSDB)15.53% Marina Silva (PV)11.56% Plínio (PSOL)0.29% +2 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−68.88 pts	Left bloc	64.17%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)87.97% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.03%	−75.93 pts	Left bloc	63.18%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)80.35% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)14.83% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.54% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.05% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.10% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.10% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	−69.86 pts	Left bloc	65.76%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.54% José Serra (PSDB)46.46%	−7.09 pts	Left bloc	54.08%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)42.25% Garotinho (PSB)23.20% José Serra (PSDB)18.85% Ciro (PPS)15.37% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.26% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.07%	−62.30 pts	Left bloc	59.41%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)50.25% Lula (PT)26.60% Ciro Gomes (PPS)15.15% Enéas (PRONA)2.39% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.55% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.86% Eymael (PSDC)0.72% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.66% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.63% Sirkis (PV)0.51% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.48% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.21%	+10.17 pts	Right bloc	46.93%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)68.36% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)19.52% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.41% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.49% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)2.17% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.76% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.76% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.52%	+59.42 pts	Right bloc	51.54%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Ilhéus ¿ Itabuna immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.