BA · Jacobina immediate region

Caém: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Caém with 82.60% of valid votes against 17.40% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 65.20 points, 61.63 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −67.58pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 8,154; 350th largest electorate in Bahia
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Bahia

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

Loading municipalities…

Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Caém−65.20 pts
Bahia−42.63 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)82.60% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)17.40%	−65.20 pts	Left bloc	83.31%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)79.65% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)17.36% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.52% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.83% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.56% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Zema (NOVO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−62.48 pts	Left bloc	79.71%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)84.41% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)15.59%	−68.81 pts	Left bloc	79.13%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)81.54% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)13.95% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.34% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.19% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.75% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.12% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.05% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	−67.86 pts	Left bloc	78.04%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)87.44% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)12.56%	−74.88 pts	Left bloc	80.75%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)77.96% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)10.38% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.72% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.33% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.90% Marina Silva (REDE)0.62% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.34% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.30% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.24% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.15% Vera (PSTU)0.06% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−73.01 pts	Left bloc	79.68%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)80.62% Aécio Neves (PSDB)19.38%	−61.24 pts	Left bloc	69.27%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)74.22% Aécio Neves (PSDB)13.51% Marina Silva (PSB)11.44% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.35% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.13% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.13% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.08% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−72.40 pts	Left bloc	71.75%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)78.56% José Serra (PSDB)21.44%	−57.12 pts	Left bloc	69.19%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)73.86% José Serra (PSDB)16.53% Marina Silva (PV)9.13% Plínio (PSOL)0.26% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.02%	−66.79 pts	Left bloc	73.05%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)80.18% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)19.82%	−60.36 pts	Left bloc	81.48%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)68.88% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)26.20% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.68% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.72% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.38% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.12% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−46.56 pts	Left bloc	85.11%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)65.97% José Serra (PSDB)34.03%	−31.94 pts	Left bloc	60.53%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)57.18% Ciro (PPS)17.05% José Serra (PSDB)16.52% Garotinho (PSB)8.88% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.29% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.08%	−66.96 pts	Left bloc	68.21%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)61.80% Lula (PT)25.65% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.83% Enéas (PRONA)1.31% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.94% Eymael (PSDC)0.84% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.74% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.67% Sirkis (PV)0.67% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.67% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.47% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.42%	+31.16 pts	Right bloc	64.21%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)57.94% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)31.87% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.11% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)2.16% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.62% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.86% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.74% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.69%	+34.53 pts	Right bloc	70.35%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Jacobina immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.