50mais1

BA · Vitória da Conquista immediate region

Caetanos: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Caetanos with 86.69% of valid votes against 13.31% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 73.39 points, 69.82 points left of Brazil.

Solid left
Lean versus Brazil
−76.53pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
11,193
271th largest electorate in Bahia
Side changes
1
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Bahia

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Caetanos−73.39 pts
  • Bahia−42.63 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)86.69%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)13.31%
−73.39 ptsLeft bloc79.92%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)84.78%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)12.75%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.41%
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.59%
+8 more
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.43%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.04%
  • Samara (UP)0.01%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%
−72.40 ptsLeft bloc77.22%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)89.32%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)10.68%
−78.63 ptsLeft bloc75.22%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)87.26%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)9.60%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.55%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)1.24%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.21%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.11%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%
−77.62 ptsLeft bloc73.86%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)91.25%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)8.75%
−82.50 ptsLeft bloc70.67%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)86.69%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)6.16%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.10%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.32%
+9 more
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.21%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.18%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.12%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.08%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.06%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.05%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.03%
  • Eymael (DC)0.00%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%
−84.21 ptsLeft bloc72.38%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)86.64%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)13.36%
−73.28 ptsLeft bloc66.50%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)86.88%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)7.84%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)4.93%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.16%
+4 more
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.05%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.04%
−83.89 ptsLeft bloc66.43%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)81.63%
  • José Serra (PSDB)18.37%
−63.25 ptsLeft bloc64.61%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)81.79%
  • José Serra (PSDB)14.24%
  • Marina Silva (PV)3.81%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.08%
+4 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.02%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.02%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.02%
−71.44 ptsLeft bloc66.65%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)73.11%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)26.89%
−46.21 ptsLeft bloc68.76%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)65.54%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)31.15%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.05%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.10%
+2 more
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.09%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07%
−37.40 ptsLeft bloc71.37%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)78.74%
  • Lula (PT)21.26%
+57.49 ptsRight bloc63.32%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)72.25%
  • Lula (PT)21.01%
  • Ciro (PPS)3.97%
  • Garotinho (PSB)2.54%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.18%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%
+44.49 ptsRight bloc70.34%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)84.47%
  • Lula (PT)8.05%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)3.12%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.75%
+8 more
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.75%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.66%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.57%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.48%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.40%
  • Enéas (PRONA)0.40%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.22%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.13%
+72.37 ptsRight bloc61.24%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)78.78%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)14.09%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.29%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.75%
+4 more
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.66%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.55%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)0.49%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.38%
+70.50 ptsRight bloc64.35%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Vitória da Conquista immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.