BA · Guanambi immediate region

Carinhanha: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Carinhanha with 62.47% of valid votes against 37.53% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 24.93 points, 21.36 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −31.42pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 22,325; 104th largest electorate in Bahia
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Bahia

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carinhanha−24.93 pts
Bahia−42.63 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.47% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)37.53%	−24.93 pts	Left bloc	84.22%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)59.92% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)36.54% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.64% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.88% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.87% Zema (NOVO)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Samara (UP)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−23.23 pts	Left bloc	82.03%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)67.60% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)32.40%	−35.19 pts	Left bloc	76.15%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)66.03% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)29.25% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.20% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.43% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.95% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−36.50 pts	Left bloc	75.59%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)70.41% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)29.59%	−40.82 pts	Left bloc	70.96%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)64.90% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)21.78% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.96% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.59% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.65% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.27% Marina Silva (REDE)0.24% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.20% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.20% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.15% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Eymael (DC)0.01%	−42.83 pts	Left bloc	71.61%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)64.84% Aécio Neves (PSDB)35.16%	−29.69 pts	Left bloc	71.52%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)67.45% Aécio Neves (PSDB)19.35% Marina Silva (PSB)12.51% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.30% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.18% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−60.56 pts	Left bloc	71.95%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)59.31% José Serra (PSDB)40.69%	−18.63 pts	Left bloc	70.57%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.32% José Serra (PSDB)34.67% Marina Silva (PV)3.66% Plínio (PSOL)0.22% +3 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%	−30.57 pts	Left bloc	72.08%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)61.38% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)38.62%	−22.76 pts	Left bloc	75.52%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)57.35% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.75% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.27% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)0.39% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.17% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−20.02 pts	Left bloc	76.81%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)64.43% José Serra (PSDB)35.57%	−28.87 pts	Left bloc	67.23%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)60.07% Ciro (PPS)22.14% José Serra (PSDB)11.44% Garotinho (PSB)6.13% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.18% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−77.12 pts	Left bloc	72.53%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)44.87% Lula (PT)44.63% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.41% Enéas (PRONA)1.39% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.82% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.68% Sirkis (PV)0.48% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.46% Eymael (PSDC)0.37% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.36% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.34% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.19%	−4.75 pts	Left bloc	60.18%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)54.90% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)34.43% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.55% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.89% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.19% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.81% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.68% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.56%	+29.53 pts	Right bloc	68.82%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Guanambi immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.