BA · Ipiaú immediate region

Ipiaú: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Ipiaú with 65.83% of valid votes against 34.17% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 31.65 points, 28.08 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −32.83pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 32,735; 58th largest electorate in Bahia
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Bahia

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ipiaú−31.65 pts
Bahia−42.63 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)65.83% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)34.17%	−31.65 pts	Left bloc	79.71%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)60.27% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)34.15% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.60% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.42% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.27% Zema (NOVO)0.13% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−25.95 pts	Left bloc	76.95%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.95% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)33.05%	−33.90 pts	Left bloc	78.74%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)64.82% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)30.18% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.27% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.83% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.56% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.20% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	−33.44 pts	Left bloc	78.24%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)68.62% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)31.38%	−37.23 pts	Left bloc	77.37%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)56.56% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)27.25% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.96% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.04% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)2.01% Marina Silva (REDE)0.74% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.64% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.62% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.62% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.50% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Eymael (DC)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%	−33.87 pts	Left bloc	76.73%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)63.98% Aécio Neves (PSDB)36.02%	−27.97 pts	Left bloc	87.94%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)56.53% Marina Silva (PSB)25.27% Aécio Neves (PSDB)16.40% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.56% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.54% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.30% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.21% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−65.61 pts	Left bloc	88.72%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)74.11% José Serra (PSDB)25.89%	−48.22 pts	Left bloc	79.29%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)63.86% Marina Silva (PV)18.05% José Serra (PSDB)17.30% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.43% +4 more Plínio (PSOL)0.27% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.02%	−65.35 pts	Left bloc	81.67%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)79.08% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.92%	−58.17 pts	Left bloc	71.13%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)68.56% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)23.21% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.25% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.78% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	−53.19 pts	Left bloc	73.37%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.43% José Serra (PSDB)37.57%	−24.87 pts	Left bloc	61.53%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)53.67% José Serra (PSDB)16.26% Garotinho (PSB)16.00% Ciro (PPS)13.31% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.70% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%	−67.49 pts	Left bloc	65.06%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)56.61% Lula (PT)27.58% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.65% Enéas (PRONA)1.26% +8 more Sirkis (PV)0.55% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.43% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.42% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.39% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.31% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.28% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.25% Eymael (PSDC)0.25%	+17.94 pts	Right bloc	57.92%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)59.21% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)26.05% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)9.25% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.74% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.90% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.87% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.66% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.31%	+46.58 pts	Right bloc	66.74%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Ipiaú immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.