CE · São Benedito - Ipu - Guaraciaba do Norte - Tianguá immediate region

Carnaubal: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Carnaubal with 67.92% of valid votes against 32.08% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 35.84 points, 32.27 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −43.86pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 14,576; 123th largest electorate in Ceará
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Ceará

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carnaubal−35.84 pts
Ceará−37.86 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)67.92% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)32.08%	−35.84 pts	Left bloc	82.14%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)63.28% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)31.61% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.45% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.70% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.84% Samara (UP)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Zema (NOVO)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−31.62 pts	Left bloc	79.18%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)71.69% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)28.31%	−43.37 pts	Left bloc	78.85%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)68.30% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)23.42% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.89% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.59% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.68% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−48.44 pts	Left bloc	77.33%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)75.83% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)24.17%	−51.66 pts	Left bloc	81.80%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Ciro Gomes (PDT)48.05% Fernando Haddad (PT)34.37% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)14.64% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.33% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)0.78% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.20% Marina Silva (REDE)0.19% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.18% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.17% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.10% Eymael (DC)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−65.41 pts	Left bloc	80.72%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)82.12% Aécio Neves (PSDB)17.88%	−64.24 pts	Left bloc	66.23%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)80.98% Aécio Neves (PSDB)11.63% Marina Silva (PSB)6.34% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.35% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.34% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.16% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	−75.87 pts	Left bloc	65.82%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)83.17% José Serra (PSDB)16.83%	−66.34 pts	Left bloc	63.53%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)83.90% José Serra (PSDB)11.60% Marina Silva (PV)4.10% Plínio (PSOL)0.27% +4 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	−76.69 pts	Left bloc	64.66%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)87.70% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.30%	−75.40 pts	Left bloc	69.41%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)76.11% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.81% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.32% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.24% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.33% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	−57.32 pts	Left bloc	70.42%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.30% José Serra (PSDB)44.70%	−10.61 pts	Left bloc	66.98%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Ciro (PPS)58.88% José Serra (PSDB)28.66% Lula (PT)10.04% Garotinho (PSB)2.35% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%	−42.68 pts	Left bloc	68.32%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)69.55% Ciro Gomes (PPS)23.07% Lula (PT)3.55% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.12% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.85% Sirkis (PV)0.44% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.40% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24% Enéas (PRONA)0.22% Eymael (PSDC)0.20% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.20% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.15%	+41.54 pts	Right bloc	67.72%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)81.76% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.50% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)5.14% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)3.82% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)0.87% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.43% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.26% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.22%	+89.28 pts	Right bloc	70.24%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Benedito - Ipu - Guaraciaba do Norte - Tianguá immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.