CE · Crateús immediate region

Independência: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Independência with 72.81% of valid votes against 27.19% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 45.62 points, 42.05 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −51.20pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 21,209; 78th largest electorate in Ceará
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Ceará

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Independência−45.62 pts
Ceará−37.86 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)72.81% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)27.19%	−45.62 pts	Left bloc	81.51%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)70.24% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)26.76% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.17% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.99% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.77% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Zema (NOVO)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Samara (UP)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−42.92 pts	Left bloc	83.15%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)75.13% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)24.87%	−50.26 pts	Left bloc	75.20%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)72.95% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)21.27% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.70% Simone Tebet (MDB)0.63% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.32% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−55.40 pts	Left bloc	76.28%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)81.70% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)18.30%	−63.40 pts	Left bloc	69.73%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)47.47% Ciro Gomes (PDT)37.91% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)12.30% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)0.87% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.41% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.31% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.24% Marina Silva (REDE)0.21% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.16% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%	−71.91 pts	Left bloc	72.40%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)77.19% Aécio Neves (PSDB)22.81%	−54.39 pts	Left bloc	69.51%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)75.72% Aécio Neves (PSDB)17.66% Marina Silva (PSB)5.73% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.43% +7 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.11% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.01% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−64.09 pts	Left bloc	72.51%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)72.95% José Serra (PSDB)27.05%	−45.91 pts	Left bloc	67.98%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)70.63% José Serra (PSDB)22.58% Marina Silva (PV)5.94% Plínio (PSOL)0.45% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Eymael (PSDC)0.11% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04%	−54.28 pts	Left bloc	73.29%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)71.14% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)28.86%	−42.27 pts	Left bloc	74.51%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)61.31% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)35.17% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.14% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.03% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.23% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.09% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−28.95 pts	Left bloc	79.84%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.04% José Serra (PSDB)37.96%	−24.07 pts	Left bloc	75.05%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Ciro (PPS)56.23% Lula (PT)28.27% José Serra (PSDB)10.52% Garotinho (PSB)4.87% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−78.96 pts	Left bloc	82.29%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Ciro Gomes (PPS)41.19% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)34.41% Lula (PT)20.37% Enéas (PRONA)0.74% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.63% Eymael (PSDC)0.55% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.55% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45% Sirkis (PV)0.38% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.27% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.25% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.23%	−27.13 pts	Left bloc	88.38%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)71.98% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.24% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.05% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)2.92% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.05% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.80% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.76% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.19%	+63.91 pts	Right bloc	73.07%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Crateús immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.