CE · Russas - Limoeiro do Norte immediate region

Jaguaribe: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Jaguaribe with 78.92% of valid votes against 21.08% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 57.83 points, 54.26 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −61.72pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 29,398; 55th largest electorate in Ceará
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Ceará

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Jaguaribe−57.83 pts
Ceará−37.86 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)78.92% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)21.08%	−57.83 pts	Left bloc	83.58%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)73.70% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)21.52% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.04% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.79% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.79% Zema (NOVO)0.06% Samara (UP)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−51.65 pts	Left bloc	80.83%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)81.08% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)18.92%	−62.16 pts	Left bloc	79.57%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)77.88% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)16.38% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.58% Simone Tebet (MDB)0.70% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.27% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.08% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−64.99 pts	Left bloc	79.45%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)82.88% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)17.12%	−65.77 pts	Left bloc	80.24%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Ciro Gomes (PDT)51.33% Fernando Haddad (PT)33.73% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)12.69% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)0.74% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.44% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.39% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.25% Marina Silva (REDE)0.14% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.12% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.11% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01% Eymael (DC)0.00%	−70.73 pts	Left bloc	81.52%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)85.15% Aécio Neves (PSDB)14.85%	−70.29 pts	Left bloc	71.08%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)79.98% Aécio Neves (PSDB)10.49% Marina Silva (PSB)8.69% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.30% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.21% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.20% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−78.47 pts	Left bloc	72.90%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)83.26% José Serra (PSDB)16.74%	−66.51 pts	Left bloc	69.81%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)75.90% José Serra (PSDB)12.47% Marina Silva (PV)11.13% Plínio (PSOL)0.32% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−74.90 pts	Left bloc	73.78%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)87.27% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.73%	−74.55 pts	Left bloc	73.68%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)79.23% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)17.17% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.96% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.43% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.14% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−65.25 pts	Left bloc	77.15%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.41% José Serra (PSDB)40.59%	−18.82 pts	Left bloc	70.01%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Ciro (PPS)55.22% Lula (PT)24.73% José Serra (PSDB)12.77% Garotinho (PSB)7.18% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−74.46 pts	Left bloc	74.93%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)45.54% Ciro Gomes (PPS)33.74% Lula (PT)16.98% Enéas (PRONA)0.95% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.58% Sirkis (PV)0.43% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.39% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.38% Eymael (PSDC)0.27% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.26% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.26% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.22%	−5.01 pts	Left bloc	69.84%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)76.38% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)14.22% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.45% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.12% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.99% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.03% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.53% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.29%	+70.50 pts	Right bloc	75.19%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Russas - Limoeiro do Norte immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.