ES · Cachoeiro de Itapemirim immediate region

Rio Novo do Sul: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Rio Novo do Sul with 71.75% of valid votes against 28.25% for Lula: a margin of 43.49 points, 47.06 points right of Brazil.

Solid right

Lean versus Brazil: +44.27pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 8,809; 68th largest electorate in Espírito Santo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Espírito Santo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Rio Novo do Sul+43.49 pts
Espírito Santo+12.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)71.75% Lula (PT)28.25%	+43.49 pts	Right bloc	84.39%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)69.83% Lula (PT)24.80% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.10% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.59% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.42% Zema (NOVO)0.10% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.06% Samara (UP)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+45.90 pts	Right bloc	82.58%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)71.90% Lula (PT)28.10%	+43.80 pts	Right bloc	84.98%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)66.63% Lula (PT)27.85% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.21% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.54% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.41% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.21% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	+41.08 pts	Right bloc	84.73%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)75.23% Fernando Haddad (PT)24.77%	+50.45 pts	Right bloc	82.91%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)67.04% Fernando Haddad (PT)15.87% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.24% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.97% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.92% Marina Silva (REDE)0.99% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.81% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.41% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.40% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.26% Eymael (DC)0.08% Vera (PSTU)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+51.25 pts	Right bloc	84.13%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)66.99% Dilma (PT)33.01%	+33.98 pts	Right bloc	88.54%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)47.11% Dilma (PT)26.80% Marina Silva (PSB)23.98% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.69% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.57% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.43% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.23% Eymael (PSDC)0.13% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−3.68 pts	Left bloc	90.15%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)57.79% Dilma (PT)42.21%	+15.58 pts	Right bloc	78.95%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)46.94% Dilma (PT)36.04% Marina Silva (PV)16.09% Plínio (PSOL)0.62% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01%	−5.71 pts	Left bloc	81.07%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.64% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)40.36%	−19.27 pts	Left bloc	80.30%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.34% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)46.24% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.18% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.11% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.10% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.01%	−7.25 pts	Left bloc	82.62%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.20% José Serra (PSDB)48.80%	−2.40 pts	Left bloc	78.90%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)39.51% Garotinho (PSB)28.20% José Serra (PSDB)27.30% Ciro (PPS)4.66% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.29% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−45.40 pts	Left bloc	84.68%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)70.72% Lula (PT)13.64% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.99% Enéas (PRONA)1.80% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.67% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.48% Eymael (PSDC)0.46% Sirkis (PV)0.36% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.34% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.21% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.19% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.13%	+47.33 pts	Right bloc	82.20%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)74.87% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.38% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.20% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.84% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.64% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.60% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.37% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.11%	+68.04 pts	Right bloc	85.87%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Cachoeiro de Itapemirim immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.