ES · São Mateus immediate region

São Mateus: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won São Mateus with 53.82% of valid votes against 46.18% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 7.63 points, 4.06 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −5.20pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 92,280; 8th largest electorate in Espírito Santo
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Espírito Santo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

São Mateus−7.63 pts
Espírito Santo+12.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.82% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.18%	−7.63 pts	Left bloc	78.05%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.21% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.69% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.40% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.06% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.34% Zema (NOVO)0.18% Samara (UP)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−1.39 pts	Left bloc	75.93%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.85% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.15%	−3.71 pts	Left bloc	75.88%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.64% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.74% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.31% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.54% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.38% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.22% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−6.50 pts	Left bloc	75.73%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)52.13% Fernando Haddad (PT)47.87%	+4.26 pts	Right bloc	73.55%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)45.73% Fernando Haddad (PT)35.71% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.07% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.91% +9 more Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)2.20% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.52% Marina Silva (REDE)1.34% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.71% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.40% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.37% Eymael (DC)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%	+6.97 pts	Right bloc	75.66%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)60.66% Aécio Neves (PSDB)39.34%	−21.31 pts	Left bloc	75.04%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.60% Marina Silva (PSB)30.50% Aécio Neves (PSDB)21.93% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.60% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.53% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.46% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.23% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−54.36 pts	Left bloc	77.28%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.10% José Serra (PSDB)34.90%	−30.21 pts	Left bloc	75.59%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)52.30% Marina Silva (PV)24.02% José Serra (PSDB)22.97% Plínio (PSOL)0.44% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.17% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−53.63 pts	Left bloc	79.54%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)76.31% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)23.69%	−52.63 pts	Left bloc	76.03%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)67.17% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)25.95% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.84% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.89% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.06% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−47.79 pts	Left bloc	79.73%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)68.84% José Serra (PSDB)31.16%	−37.69 pts	Left bloc	70.90%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.11% Garotinho (PSB)23.85% José Serra (PSDB)15.37% Ciro (PPS)6.35% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.26% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%	−69.27 pts	Left bloc	78.43%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)63.69% Lula (PT)27.15% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.80% Enéas (PRONA)1.15% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.43% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.32% Sirkis (PV)0.14% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.11% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.02%	+30.81 pts	Right bloc	71.23%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)57.15% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)32.54% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.23% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.49% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.86% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.85% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.63% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.26%	+33.21 pts	Right bloc	78.58%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São Mateus immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.