ES · Vitória immediate region

Serra: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Serra with 50.84% of valid votes against 49.16% for Lula: a margin of 1.68 points, 5.25 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +5.03pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 361,709; 1th largest electorate in Espírito Santo
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Espírito Santo

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Serra+1.68 pts
Espírito Santo+12.74 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.84% Lula (PT)49.16%	+1.68 pts	Right bloc	80.12%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.17% Lula (PT)42.10% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.46% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)3.06% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.67% Zema (NOVO)0.28% Samara (UP)0.11% Clariana Barao (DC)0.05% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+8.50 pts	Right bloc	77.91%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)53.11% Lula (PT)46.89%	+6.23 pts	Right bloc	79.43%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)47.18% Lula (PT)44.85% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.70% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.16% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.52% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.40% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%	+3.77 pts	Right bloc	79.60%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.28% Fernando Haddad (PT)41.72%	+16.56 pts	Right bloc	79.53%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.20% Fernando Haddad (PT)26.61% Ciro Gomes (PDT)11.19% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)3.48% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.38% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.99% Marina Silva (REDE)1.88% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.24% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.50% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.44% Eymael (DC)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+19.51 pts	Right bloc	81.02%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.34% Aécio Neves (PSDB)44.66%	−10.68 pts	Left bloc	78.37%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Marina Silva (PSB)41.03% Dilma (PT)33.64% Aécio Neves (PSDB)21.61% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.25% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.04% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.62% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.60% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−53.32 pts	Left bloc	82.11%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)60.97% José Serra (PSDB)39.03%	−21.94 pts	Left bloc	80.74%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)40.43% Marina Silva (PV)38.56% José Serra (PSDB)19.87% Plínio (PSOL)0.75% +5 more Eymael (PSDC)0.23% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−59.68 pts	Left bloc	85.12%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)76.91% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)23.09%	−53.81 pts	Left bloc	82.59%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)60.80% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)25.07% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)7.93% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)5.92% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06%	−49.30 pts	Left bloc	84.80%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)71.44% José Serra (PSDB)28.56%	−42.88 pts	Left bloc	80.30%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)53.12% Garotinho (PSB)30.16% José Serra (PSDB)10.89% Ciro (PPS)5.27% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.46% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.09%	−78.22 pts	Left bloc	83.74%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)55.70% Lula (PT)30.79% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.69% Enéas (PRONA)1.54% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.52% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.20% Sirkis (PV)0.16% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.12% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.10% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.04%	+15.48 pts	Right bloc	79.41%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)46.33% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)39.94% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)8.52% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.45% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.07% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.04% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.38% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.28%	+17.97 pts	Right bloc	85.39%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Vitória immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.