MA · Bacabal immediate region

Bacabal: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Bacabal with 66.51% of valid votes against 33.49% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 33.03 points, 29.46 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −34.75pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 71,835; 9th largest electorate in Maranhão
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Maranhão

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Bacabal−33.03 pts
Maranhão−39.08 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.51% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)33.49%	−33.03 pts	Left bloc	82.93%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)60.66% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)35.04% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.71% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.54% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.83% Zema (NOVO)0.12% Samara (UP)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−24.88 pts	Left bloc	82.27%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.09% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)33.91%	−32.17 pts	Left bloc	80.40%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)64.48% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)31.06% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.64% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.42% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.15% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.10% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−34.36 pts	Left bloc	81.13%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)66.64% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)33.36%	−33.28 pts	Left bloc	85.90%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)54.14% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)31.43% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.94% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.02% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.23% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.62% Marina Silva (REDE)0.60% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.38% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.29% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.22% Vera (PSTU)0.07% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02% Eymael (DC)0.02%	−28.13 pts	Left bloc	83.56%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)77.37% Aécio Neves (PSDB)22.63%	−54.73 pts	Left bloc	70.50%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)68.40% Marina Silva (PSB)17.38% Aécio Neves (PSDB)12.83% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.66% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.24% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.21% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.17% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−72.55 pts	Left bloc	73.37%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)78.18% José Serra (PSDB)21.82%	−56.36 pts	Left bloc	69.54%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)69.44% José Serra (PSDB)16.00% Marina Silva (PV)14.04% Plínio (PSOL)0.31% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−67.82 pts	Left bloc	75.39%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)87.27% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.73%	−74.55 pts	Left bloc	73.96%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)77.06% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)17.88% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.60% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.28% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−63.87 pts	Left bloc	76.51%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)68.53% José Serra (PSDB)31.47%	−37.05 pts	Left bloc	65.33%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.92% Garotinho (PSB)26.21% Ciro (PPS)20.34% José Serra (PSDB)8.24% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.22% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%	−83.52 pts	Left bloc	72.74%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)48.60% Lula (PT)32.07% Ciro Gomes (PPS)17.65% Enéas (PRONA)0.77% +8 more Sirkis (PV)0.17% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.16% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.14% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.10% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.09% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−0.59 pts	Left bloc	64.24%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)55.10% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)30.91% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.22% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)4.21% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.73% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.23% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.15% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.46%	+35.72 pts	Right bloc	68.41%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Bacabal immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.