MA · Balsas immediate region

Carolina: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Carolina with 59.32% of valid votes against 40.68% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 18.65 points, 15.08 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −26.32pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 18,312; 73th largest electorate in Maranhão
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Maranhão

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carolina−18.65 pts
Maranhão−39.08 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.32% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)40.68%	−18.65 pts	Left bloc	80.00%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.55% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)39.65% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.55% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.74% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.27% Zema (NOVO)0.15% Samara (UP)0.04% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−14.32 pts	Left bloc	78.86%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)63.56% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)36.44%	−27.11 pts	Left bloc	73.90%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)62.37% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)33.15% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.06% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.88% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.19% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.17% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.13% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01%	−28.57 pts	Left bloc	73.76%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)64.98% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)35.02%	−29.96 pts	Left bloc	69.35%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)58.49% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)29.79% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.01% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.70% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.12% Marina Silva (REDE)0.92% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.83% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.58% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.32% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.19% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−31.54 pts	Left bloc	72.05%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)74.91% Aécio Neves (PSDB)25.09%	−49.81 pts	Left bloc	69.53%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)67.48% Aécio Neves (PSDB)16.49% Marina Silva (PSB)14.78% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.45% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.26% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.22% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.14% Eymael (PSDC)0.09% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−65.66 pts	Left bloc	71.67%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)74.03% José Serra (PSDB)25.97%	−48.05 pts	Left bloc	68.31%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)67.49% José Serra (PSDB)19.28% Marina Silva (PV)12.88% Plínio (PSOL)0.14% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%	−61.21 pts	Left bloc	72.46%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)77.36% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)22.64%	−54.72 pts	Left bloc	72.57%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)66.81% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)28.39% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.48% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.11% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%	−42.80 pts	Left bloc	75.20%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)51.14% Lula (PT)48.86%	+2.27 pts	Right bloc	64.11%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)39.28% Ciro (PPS)26.04% José Serra (PSDB)22.08% Garotinho (PSB)12.39% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.16% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%	−55.84 pts	Left bloc	71.53%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)56.65% Ciro Gomes (PPS)20.22% Lula (PT)18.17% Enéas (PRONA)1.43% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.82% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.61% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.58% Sirkis (PV)0.55% Eymael (PSDC)0.32% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.27% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.20% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.17%	+18.09 pts	Right bloc	68.97%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)71.76% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.61% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.29% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.56% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.00% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.90% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.62% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.27%	+63.55 pts	Right bloc	69.04%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Balsas immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.