MA · Imperatriz immediate region

Estreito: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Estreito with 51.44% of valid votes against 48.56% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 2.88 points, 0.69 points right of Brazil.

Likely leftSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −11.48pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 24,146; 50th largest electorate in Maranhão
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Maranhão

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Estreito−2.88 pts
Maranhão−39.08 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.44% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.56%	−2.88 pts	Left bloc	79.94%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.67% Lula (PT)45.95% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.93% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.85% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.36% Zema (NOVO)0.15% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Samara (UP)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+2.10 pts	Right bloc	78.70%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.42% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)44.58%	−10.84 pts	Left bloc	78.33%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.14% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.19% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.35% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.91% +7 more Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.17% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.14% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.09% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−12.13 pts	Left bloc	78.17%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)60.61% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)39.39%	−21.22 pts	Left bloc	81.38%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)51.78% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)35.73% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.84% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.71% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.38% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.97% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.60% Marina Silva (REDE)0.51% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.26% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.16% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%	−18.83 pts	Left bloc	83.22%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.37% Aécio Neves (PSDB)34.63%	−30.74 pts	Left bloc	71.66%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)59.32% Aécio Neves (PSDB)24.45% Marina Silva (PSB)14.86% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.78% +7 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.30% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.16% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.03% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−49.16 pts	Left bloc	74.41%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)69.13% José Serra (PSDB)30.87%	−38.26 pts	Left bloc	73.69%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)60.23% José Serra (PSDB)25.75% Marina Silva (PV)13.57% Plínio (PSOL)0.30% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03%	−48.38 pts	Left bloc	77.28%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)73.25% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)26.75%	−46.49 pts	Left bloc	77.89%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)64.33% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)31.40% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.87% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.28% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%	−36.98 pts	Left bloc	80.65%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)61.86% Lula (PT)38.14%	+23.72 pts	Right bloc	69.16%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)31.13% José Serra (PSDB)29.94% Ciro (PPS)24.80% Garotinho (PSB)13.87% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.24% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−40.11 pts	Left bloc	78.44%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)64.13% Lula (PT)18.11% Ciro Gomes (PPS)12.87% Enéas (PRONA)1.57% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.59% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.59% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.54% Sirkis (PV)0.48% Eymael (PSDC)0.39% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.36% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.23% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.14%	+33.65 pts	Right bloc	71.93%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)76.91% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)12.69% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.90% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.60% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.00% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.94% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.61% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.35%	+72.76 pts	Right bloc	71.31%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Imperatriz immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.