50mais1

MA · São João dos Patos immediate region

Paraibano: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Paraibano with 80.29% of valid votes against 19.71% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 60.57 points, 57.00 points left of Brazil.

Solid leftSwing
Lean versus Brazil
−65.25pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
14,960
105th largest electorate in Maranhão
Side changes
3
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Maranhão

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Paraibano−60.57 pts
  • Maranhão−39.08 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)80.29%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)19.71%
−60.57 ptsLeft bloc76.63%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)76.05%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)21.29%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.16%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.84%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.60%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.03%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
  • Samara (UP)0.00%
−54.46 ptsLeft bloc74.54%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)83.72%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)16.28%
−67.45 ptsLeft bloc76.10%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)81.78%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)15.19%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.77%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)0.80%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.24%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.16%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.02%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.01%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%
−67.18 ptsLeft bloc75.40%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)85.81%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)14.19%
−71.62 ptsLeft bloc76.23%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)74.75%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)13.79%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.49%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.76%
+9 more
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.25%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.30%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.24%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.11%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.10%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.10%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.07%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%
  • Eymael (DC)0.02%
−63.35 ptsLeft bloc74.67%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)83.55%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)16.45%
−67.11 ptsLeft bloc63.43%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)80.03%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)9.68%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)9.53%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.28%
+7 more
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.15%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.10%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.09%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.06%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
−80.06 ptsLeft bloc64.50%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)80.17%
  • José Serra (PSDB)19.83%
−60.33 ptsLeft bloc62.52%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)79.12%
  • José Serra (PSDB)14.82%
  • Marina Silva (PV)5.44%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.29%
+4 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.13%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.07%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05%
−70.07 ptsLeft bloc66.56%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)88.58%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)11.42%
−77.16 ptsLeft bloc72.31%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)80.10%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)15.16%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.68%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)0.81%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.19%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.01%
−69.20 ptsLeft bloc75.14%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)50.66%
  • Lula (PT)49.34%
+1.32 ptsRight bloc60.52%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)38.06%
  • Ciro (PPS)28.27%
  • Garotinho (PSB)17.89%
  • José Serra (PSDB)15.60%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.12%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%
−68.80 ptsLeft bloc72.25%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)45.14%
  • Lula (PT)34.57%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)13.82%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.15%
+8 more
  • Enéas (PRONA)1.01%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.99%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.92%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.84%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.56%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.52%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.34%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.16%
−4.56 ptsLeft bloc71.56%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)75.48%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)16.69%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.72%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.13%
+4 more
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.09%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.79%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.66%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.43%
+65.03 ptsRight bloc74.81%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2002(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the São João dos Patos immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.