50mais1

MA · Itapecuru Mirim immediate region

Vargem Grande: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Vargem Grande with 79.02% of valid votes against 20.98% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 58.05 points, 54.48 points left of Brazil.

Solid left
Lean versus Brazil
−63.29pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
32,651
28th largest electorate in Maranhão
Side changes
1
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Maranhão

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Vargem Grande−58.05 pts
  • Maranhão−39.08 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)79.02%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)20.98%
−58.05 ptsLeft bloc77.80%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)73.13%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)22.95%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.37%
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.23%
+8 more
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.09%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.17%
  • Samara (UP)0.02%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.01%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
−49.09 ptsLeft bloc78.03%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)82.45%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)17.55%
−64.90 ptsLeft bloc76.56%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)80.16%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)16.24%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.93%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)1.20%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.18%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.17%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.03%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.02%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.02%
−64.30 ptsLeft bloc77.46%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)85.31%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)14.69%
−70.62 ptsLeft bloc82.04%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)77.16%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)13.55%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.89%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.89%
+9 more
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.23%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.46%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.32%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.20%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.14%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.09%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.04%
  • Eymael (DC)0.02%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%
−65.25 ptsLeft bloc82.75%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)83.61%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)16.39%
−67.22 ptsLeft bloc67.46%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)78.87%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)11.85%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)8.44%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.41%
+7 more
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.12%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.09%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
−82.07 ptsLeft bloc70.73%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)85.24%
  • José Serra (PSDB)14.76%
−70.48 ptsLeft bloc66.45%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)80.80%
  • José Serra (PSDB)13.65%
  • Marina Silva (PV)5.00%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.29%
+5 more
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.09%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−72.53 ptsLeft bloc72.04%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)87.05%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)12.95%
−74.10 ptsLeft bloc74.78%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)80.22%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)14.94%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)3.22%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.42%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.10%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
−69.73 ptsLeft bloc78.16%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)54.66%
  • José Serra (PSDB)45.34%
−9.31 ptsLeft bloc52.88%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)46.33%
  • Ciro (PPS)24.42%
  • José Serra (PSDB)15.80%
  • Garotinho (PSB)13.26%
+2 more
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.10%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09%
−68.40 ptsLeft bloc68.92%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)55.90%
  • Lula (PT)26.76%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.23%
  • Enéas (PRONA)1.37%
+8 more
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.20%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.96%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.85%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.80%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.77%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.56%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.31%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.30%
+18.80 ptsRight bloc65.90%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)69.56%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)19.39%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.50%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.66%
+4 more
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)2.28%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.26%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.75%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.60%
+58.70 ptsRight bloc73.52%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Itapecuru Mirim immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.