MG · Campo Belo immediate region

Aguanil: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Aguanil with 51.64% of valid votes against 48.36% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 3.28 points, 0.29 points right of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −3.62pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,331; 669th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Aguanil−3.28 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.64% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.36%	−3.28 pts	Left bloc	78.55%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.61% Lula (PT)44.15% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.68% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)3.39% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.81% Zema (NOVO)0.16% Samara (UP)0.13% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+3.94 pts	Right bloc	76.31%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.76% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)47.24%	−5.52 pts	Left bloc	80.80%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.97% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.96% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.49% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.50% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.68% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.31% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−5.06 pts	Left bloc	79.08%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)56.43% Fernando Haddad (PT)43.57%	+12.87 pts	Right bloc	74.48%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)47.55% Fernando Haddad (PT)33.05% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.98% João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.14% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.99% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.96% Marina Silva (REDE)0.42% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.38% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.23% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.19% Eymael (DC)0.12% Vera (PSTU)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+16.72 pts	Right bloc	76.97%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)67.37% Aécio Neves (PSDB)32.63%	−34.73 pts	Left bloc	80.46%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.01% Aécio Neves (PSDB)24.99% Marina Silva (PSB)11.75% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.86% +4 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.65% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.34% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.34% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%	−48.02 pts	Left bloc	82.88%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)72.79% José Serra (PSDB)27.21%	−45.58 pts	Left bloc	78.70%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.30% José Serra (PSDB)20.57% Marina Silva (PV)17.27% Plínio (PSOL)0.75% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−58.79 pts	Left bloc	84.50%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)74.71% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)25.29%	−49.41 pts	Left bloc	84.05%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)61.09% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)34.39% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.39% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.91% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.09%	−30.79 pts	Left bloc	86.89%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.79% José Serra (PSDB)37.21%	−25.58 pts	Left bloc	78.48%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.18% José Serra (PSDB)30.31% Garotinho (PSB)12.37% Ciro (PPS)7.81% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.34%	−39.38 pts	Left bloc	82.55%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)63.96% Lula (PT)19.61% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.06% Enéas (PRONA)2.47% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.78% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.71% Eymael (PSDC)0.58% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.52% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.52% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.39% Sirkis (PV)0.26% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.13%	+36.10 pts	Right bloc	84.06%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)76.34% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)13.53% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.55% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.94% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.21% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.63% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.40% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.40%	+71.68 pts	Right bloc	82.93%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Campo Belo immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.