MG · Cataguases immediate region

Astolfo Dutra: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Astolfo Dutra with 50.19% of valid votes against 49.81% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 0.37 points, 3.20 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −0.95pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 10,808; 277th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Astolfo Dutra−0.37 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.19% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.81%	−0.37 pts	Left bloc	82.41%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.74% Lula (PT)44.80% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.53% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.26% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.44% Zema (NOVO)0.17% Samara (UP)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+5.24 pts	Right bloc	80.08%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.47% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)48.53%	−2.94 pts	Left bloc	81.81%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.07% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.87% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.19% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.66% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.97% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.17% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−5.51 pts	Left bloc	80.59%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)56.07% Fernando Haddad (PT)43.93%	+12.15 pts	Right bloc	78.78%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)48.11% Fernando Haddad (PT)32.20% Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.47% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.05% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.61% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.24% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.55% Marina Silva (REDE)0.29% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.23% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.19% Vera (PSTU)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+17.56 pts	Right bloc	78.73%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)62.96% Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.04%	−25.92 pts	Left bloc	82.20%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)54.78% Aécio Neves (PSDB)32.16% Marina Silva (PSB)11.40% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.90% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.34% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.30% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	−34.90 pts	Left bloc	82.75%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)67.77% José Serra (PSDB)32.23%	−35.53 pts	Left bloc	83.40%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.58% José Serra (PSDB)29.50% Marina Silva (PV)8.36% Plínio (PSOL)0.35% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−40.78 pts	Left bloc	84.97%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)65.27% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)34.73%	−30.55 pts	Left bloc	84.10%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)55.20% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)40.80% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.07% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.79% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−18.13 pts	Left bloc	85.62%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)61.37% José Serra (PSDB)38.63%	−22.74 pts	Left bloc	83.70%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.41% José Serra (PSDB)32.83% Garotinho (PSB)10.48% Ciro (PPS)6.84% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.39% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%	−34.34 pts	Left bloc	85.33%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)61.42% Lula (PT)21.80% Ciro Gomes (PPS)12.02% Enéas (PRONA)1.55% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.74% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.48% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45% Eymael (PSDC)0.40% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.35% Sirkis (PV)0.35% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.24% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.21%	+28.32 pts	Right bloc	82.77%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)75.47% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.08% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.25% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)1.94% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.39% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.91% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.51% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.46%	+68.02 pts	Right bloc	86.13%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Cataguases immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.