50mais1

MG · Belo Horizonte immediate region · capital

Belo Horizonte: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Belo Horizonte with 50.80% of valid votes against 49.20% for Lula: a margin of 1.61 points, 5.18 points right of Brazil.

Likely right
Lean versus Brazil
+12.53pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
1,966,758
1th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes
2
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Belo Horizonte+1.61 pts
  • Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.80%
  • Lula (PT)49.20%
+1.61 ptsRight bloc79.33%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.30%
  • Lula (PT)41.39%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.69%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.73%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.31%
  • Zema (NOVO)1.22%
  • Samara (UP)0.18%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.07%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02%
+9.25 ptsRight bloc76.39%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)54.25%
  • Lula (PT)45.75%
+8.50 ptsRight bloc79.98%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.60%
  • Lula (PT)42.53%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)5.49%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.66%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)1.01%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.45%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.10%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.05%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.03%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%
+7.24 ptsRight bloc78.25%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)65.59%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)34.41%
+31.19 ptsRight bloc79.38%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)55.17%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)17.39%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)14.54%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)4.66%
+9 more
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.00%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.43%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.31%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.19%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.68%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.49%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.08%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%
  • Eymael (DC)0.03%
+31.70 ptsRight bloc79.54%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)64.29%
  • Dilma (PT)35.71%
+28.58 ptsRight bloc80.56%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)53.89%
  • Dilma (PT)25.10%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)16.65%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.32%
+7 more
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.92%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.65%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.25%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%
+9.65 ptsRight bloc81.95%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)50.39%
  • Dilma (PT)49.61%
+0.78 ptsRight bloc80.42%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Marina Silva (PV)39.88%
  • Dilma (PT)30.92%
  • José Serra (PSDB)27.73%
  • Plínio (PSOL)1.10%
+5 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.13%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.11%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%
−44.21 ptsLeft bloc84.20%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)63.18%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)36.82%
−26.36 ptsLeft bloc82.73%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)44.53%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.40%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)10.69%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)5.09%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.07%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07%
−20.62 ptsLeft bloc84.14%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)75.64%
  • José Serra (PSDB)24.36%
−51.29 ptsLeft bloc84.60%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)58.42%
  • Garotinho (PSB)17.73%
  • José Serra (PSDB)13.40%
  • Ciro (PPS)9.87%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.47%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.10%
−73.19 ptsLeft bloc86.35%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)49.84%
  • Lula (PT)32.14%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)14.43%
  • Enéas (PRONA)2.23%
+8 more
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.29%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.29%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.26%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.16%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.11%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.09%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.08%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.08%
+5.22 ptsRight bloc82.68%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)62.06%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)23.41%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)9.21%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)1.84%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.38%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.35%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.39%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.37%
+50.48 ptsRight bloc86.92%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2010(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Belo Horizonte immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.