MG · Carangola immediate region

Caiana: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Caiana with 54.57% of valid votes against 45.43% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 9.13 points, 5.56 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −16.68pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 4,437; 650th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Caiana−9.13 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.57% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.43%	−9.13 pts	Left bloc	83.10%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)48.91% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)44.45% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.30% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.09% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.79% Zema (NOVO)0.33% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	−2.24 pts	Left bloc	79.60%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.68% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.32%	−13.36 pts	Left bloc	81.50%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)56.44% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)37.82% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.35% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.09% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.86% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.22% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.13% Vera (PSTU)0.06% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−17.18 pts	Left bloc	80.22%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)61.12% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)38.88%	−22.24 pts	Left bloc	75.89%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)44.75% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)30.93% Ciro Gomes (PDT)13.46% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.94% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.01% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.90% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.82% Marina Silva (REDE)0.47% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.36% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.14% Eymael (DC)0.11% Vera (PSTU)0.07% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04%	−18.30 pts	Left bloc	77.81%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)74.07% Aécio Neves (PSDB)25.93%	−48.14 pts	Left bloc	82.11%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)69.28% Aécio Neves (PSDB)16.39% Marina Silva (PSB)12.27% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.12% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.45% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−64.64 pts	Left bloc	84.25%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)62.08% José Serra (PSDB)37.92%	−24.16 pts	Left bloc	84.95%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)55.09% José Serra (PSDB)36.85% Marina Silva (PV)7.34% Plínio (PSOL)0.56% +3 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−26.07 pts	Left bloc	88.20%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)70.67% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)29.33%	−41.34 pts	Left bloc	79.74%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)61.02% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)33.83% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.48% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.41% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.18% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−31.84 pts	Left bloc	82.12%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.88% José Serra (PSDB)40.12%	−19.77 pts	Left bloc	79.48%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)44.77% Garotinho (PSB)25.07% José Serra (PSDB)23.69% Ciro (PPS)5.59% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.76% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.13%	−52.62 pts	Left bloc	84.87%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)72.45% Lula (PT)15.46% Ciro Gomes (PPS)6.69% Enéas (PRONA)1.24% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.01% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.65% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.59% Sirkis (PV)0.47% Eymael (PSDC)0.41% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.41% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.36% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.24%	+50.59 pts	Right bloc	82.01%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)73.69% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)18.83% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.37% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)1.34% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.67% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.49% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.30% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.30%	+61.00 pts	Right bloc	70.32%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Carangola immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.