50mais1

MG · Manhuaçu immediate region

Caparaó: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Caparaó with 59.37% of valid votes against 40.63% for Lula: a margin of 18.74 points, 22.31 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+13.09pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
4,640
626th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes
4
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 2 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Caparaó+18.74 pts
  • Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)59.37%
  • Lula (PT)40.63%
+18.74 ptsRight bloc81.62%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)58.48%
  • Lula (PT)35.22%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.40%
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.88%
+8 more
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.18%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.75%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.06%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%
  • Samara (UP)0.00%
+24.59 ptsRight bloc77.76%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)59.20%
  • Lula (PT)40.80%
+18.40 ptsRight bloc81.26%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)54.13%
  • Lula (PT)40.26%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.50%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)2.10%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.88%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.06%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%
+14.43 ptsRight bloc79.33%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)55.89%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)44.11%
+11.78 ptsRight bloc75.21%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)44.56%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)37.77%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)8.88%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.12%
+9 more
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.64%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.68%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.51%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.45%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.23%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.10%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.06%
  • Eymael (DC)0.00%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%
+5.47 ptsRight bloc77.93%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)62.63%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.37%
−25.26 ptsLeft bloc76.87%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)62.67%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)24.84%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)10.24%
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.47%
+6 more
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.28%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.22%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.16%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.06%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03%
−46.70 ptsLeft bloc80.86%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)58.61%
  • Dilma (PT)41.39%
+17.22 ptsRight bloc77.17%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)54.88%
  • Dilma (PT)35.01%
  • Marina Silva (PV)9.59%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.40%
+3 more
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
+9.95 ptsRight bloc81.48%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)54.50%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.50%
−9.00 ptsLeft bloc79.98%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)52.26%
  • Lula (PT)42.60%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.32%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.32%
+1 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.50%
+5.51 ptsRight bloc83.73%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)58.58%
  • Lula (PT)41.42%
+17.16 ptsRight bloc77.67%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Garotinho (PSB)31.83%
  • Lula (PT)30.84%
  • José Serra (PSDB)29.93%
  • Ciro (PPS)6.77%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.59%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.05%
−40.15 ptsLeft bloc81.27%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)79.10%
  • Lula (PT)10.77%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.91%
  • Enéas (PRONA)1.36%
+8 more
  • Sirkis (PV)0.58%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.45%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.45%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.45%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.26%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.26%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.19%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.19%
+63.14 ptsRight bloc72.10%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)87.54%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)6.07%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)2.95%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)1.88%
+4 more
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.78%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.39%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.25%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.14%
+87.07 ptsRight bloc72.10%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Manhuaçu immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.