MG · Conselheiro Lafaiete immediate region

Caranaíba: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Caranaíba with 59.29% of valid votes against 40.71% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 18.59 points, 15.02 points left of Brazil.

Likely leftSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −13.54pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,454; 757th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2006.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Caranaíba−18.59 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.29% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)40.71%	−18.59 pts	Left bloc	80.17%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.34% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)40.75% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.65% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.01% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.18% Zema (NOVO)0.99% Samara (UP)0.08% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−10.14 pts	Left bloc	79.70%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.84% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)40.16%	−19.68 pts	Left bloc	82.59%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)57.00% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)34.10% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.80% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.82% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)1.63% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.49% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.12% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−19.97 pts	Left bloc	82.56%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)51.37% Fernando Haddad (PT)48.63%	+2.73 pts	Right bloc	79.72%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)38.59% Fernando Haddad (PT)36.51% Ciro Gomes (PDT)9.83% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)8.64% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.02% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.99% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.90% Marina Silva (REDE)0.71% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.57% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.19% Vera (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+4.68 pts	Right bloc	81.21%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.95% Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.05%	−9.90 pts	Left bloc	83.21%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)51.53% Aécio Neves (PSDB)39.83% Marina Silva (PSB)6.79% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.66% +6 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.39% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.26% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.22% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.13% Eymael (PSDC)0.13% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04%	−18.23 pts	Left bloc	85.55%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.13% José Serra (PSDB)44.87%	−10.27 pts	Left bloc	84.06%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.94% José Serra (PSDB)42.17% Marina Silva (PV)9.59% Plínio (PSOL)0.72% +5 more Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.14% Eymael (PSDC)0.14% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.14% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.09%	−15.12 pts	Left bloc	88.41%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)58.09% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)41.91%	−16.17 pts	Left bloc	84.78%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.37% Lula (PT)41.07% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.03% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.99% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.23% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.23% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.09%	+7.82 pts	Right bloc	87.51%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)55.06% Lula (PT)44.94%	+10.13 pts	Right bloc	82.23%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)47.86% Lula (PT)33.20% Ciro (PPS)10.24% Garotinho (PSB)7.84% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.60% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.28%	−4.29 pts	Left bloc	87.14%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)64.12% Lula (PT)15.68% Ciro Gomes (PPS)14.32% Enéas (PRONA)2.09% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.85% Sirkis (PV)0.57% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.51% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.45% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.40% Eymael (PSDC)0.40% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.40% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.23%	+35.37 pts	Right bloc	83.66%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)81.93% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)10.08% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.54% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)1.68% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.02% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.78% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.60% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.36%	+79.11 pts	Right bloc	82.34%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Conselheiro Lafaiete immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.