MG · São Lourenço immediate region

Carmo de Minas: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Carmo de Minas with 52.68% of valid votes against 47.32% for Lula: a margin of 5.35 points, 8.92 points right of Brazil.

Likely right

Lean versus Brazil: +8.98pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 9,819; 303th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carmo de Minas+5.35 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)52.68% Lula (PT)47.32%	+5.35 pts	Right bloc	80.05%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.53% Lula (PT)39.79% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.80% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.62% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.55% Zema (NOVO)0.62% Samara (UP)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	+14.70 pts	Right bloc	78.37%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)52.28% Lula (PT)47.72%	+4.56 pts	Right bloc	80.01%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.31% Lula (PT)46.13% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.28% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.90% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.78% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.36% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Léo Péricles (UP)0.08% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	+3.65 pts	Right bloc	78.58%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)60.38% Fernando Haddad (PT)39.62%	+20.76 pts	Right bloc	77.66%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)51.17% Fernando Haddad (PT)24.76% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)8.93% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.93% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.39% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.19% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.02% Marina Silva (REDE)0.80% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.44% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.28% Eymael (DC)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.01%	+32.40 pts	Right bloc	78.27%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)55.38% Dilma (PT)44.62%	+10.76 pts	Right bloc	81.70%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)56.26% Dilma (PT)31.65% Marina Silva (PSB)9.49% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.92% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.87% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.37% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.35% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+14.96 pts	Right bloc	82.37%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)60.34% Dilma (PT)39.66%	+20.68 pts	Right bloc	81.37%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)46.98% Dilma (PT)34.41% Marina Silva (PV)17.64% Plínio (PSOL)0.86% +3 more Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03%	−5.90 pts	Left bloc	83.00%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)54.18% Lula (PT)45.82%	+8.36 pts	Right bloc	83.58%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)65.66% Lula (PT)27.92% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.16% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.07% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.08%	+31.71 pts	Right bloc	84.61%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.99% José Serra (PSDB)43.01%	−13.98 pts	Left bloc	83.34%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)43.72% José Serra (PSDB)27.79% Garotinho (PSB)15.32% Ciro (PPS)12.75% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.42%	−44.42 pts	Left bloc	84.49%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)63.63% Lula (PT)18.57% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.55% Enéas (PRONA)3.05% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.76% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.70% Eymael (PSDC)0.65% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.54% Sirkis (PV)0.52% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.48% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.33% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.22%	+36.72 pts	Right bloc	82.63%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)66.39% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)17.03% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.37% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.41% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.17% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.14% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.00% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.49%	+63.61 pts	Right bloc	85.53%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the São Lourenço immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.