MG · Lavras immediate region

Carrancas: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Carrancas with 51.09% of valid votes against 48.91% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 2.18 points, 1.39 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −1.95pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,442; 758th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 3 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2018.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carrancas−2.18 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)51.09% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.91%	−2.18 pts	Left bloc	79.84%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)48.25% Lula (PT)43.16% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.98% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.82% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.59% Zema (NOVO)1.15% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	+7.96 pts	Right bloc	77.22%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.44% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)45.56%	−8.88 pts	Left bloc	80.61%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.98% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)39.02% Simone Tebet (MDB)4.61% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.68% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.83% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.64% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.11% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−9.57 pts	Left bloc	78.92%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.25% Fernando Haddad (PT)49.75%	+0.50 pts	Right bloc	77.03%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)40.84% Fernando Haddad (PT)30.93% Ciro Gomes (PDT)12.78% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)8.99% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)3.25% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.05% Marina Silva (REDE)0.80% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.63% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.42% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.21% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.00%	+10.38 pts	Right bloc	79.56%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)56.21% Dilma (PT)43.79%	+12.42 pts	Right bloc	81.47%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)54.29% Dilma (PT)39.67% Marina Silva (PSB)4.04% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.82% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.41% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.41% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.33% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	+10.12 pts	Right bloc	81.78%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.35% José Serra (PSDB)48.65%	−2.71 pts	Left bloc	84.74%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)49.22% Dilma (PT)39.02% Marina Silva (PV)11.13% Plínio (PSOL)0.38% +2 more Eymael (PSDC)0.17% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.08%	−1.22 pts	Left bloc	85.95%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.39% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)46.61%	−6.77 pts	Left bloc	83.93%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)63.51% Lula (PT)32.16% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.14% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.77% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.33% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.08%	+27.84 pts	Right bloc	85.71%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.21% José Serra (PSDB)44.79%	−10.42 pts	Left bloc	74.91%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.33% José Serra (PSDB)33.79% Ciro (PPS)14.73% Garotinho (PSB)4.15% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)1.00%	−32.42 pts	Left bloc	79.16%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)59.83% Ciro Gomes (PPS)15.80% Lula (PT)15.69% Enéas (PRONA)2.43% +8 more Sergio Bueno (PSC)2.17% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.98% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.83% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.57% Eymael (PSDC)0.52% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.52% Sirkis (PV)0.41% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.26%	+31.54 pts	Right bloc	75.56%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)74.16% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)13.14% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.03% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.95% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.41% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.29% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.29% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.74%	+71.15 pts	Right bloc	79.21%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Lavras immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.