MG · Espinosa immediate region

Espinosa: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Espinosa with 63.23% of valid votes against 36.77% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 26.47 points, 22.90 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −31.01pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 23,563; 119th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Espinosa−26.47 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)63.23% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)36.77%	−26.47 pts	Left bloc	81.02%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)58.99% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)35.63% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.41% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.12% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.67% Zema (NOVO)0.13% Samara (UP)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%	−24.89 pts	Left bloc	79.38%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)66.70% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)33.30%	−33.39 pts	Left bloc	79.14%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)65.06% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)30.09% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.38% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.76% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.46% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.14% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	−33.77 pts	Left bloc	78.16%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)64.39% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)35.61%	−28.79 pts	Left bloc	76.89%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)59.18% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)25.98% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.17% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.53% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.47% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.47% Marina Silva (REDE)0.37% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.37% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.24% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.19% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Eymael (DC)0.01%	−32.23 pts	Left bloc	78.39%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)74.46% Aécio Neves (PSDB)25.54%	−48.93 pts	Left bloc	66.58%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)72.92% Aécio Neves (PSDB)19.25% Marina Silva (PSB)7.13% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.26% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.14% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.12% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.09% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02%	−60.91 pts	Left bloc	67.08%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)67.77% José Serra (PSDB)32.23%	−35.53 pts	Left bloc	63.11%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)66.27% José Serra (PSDB)27.90% Marina Silva (PV)5.57% Plínio (PSOL)0.17% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01% Eymael (PSDC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−44.11 pts	Left bloc	64.98%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)64.46% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)35.54%	−28.92 pts	Left bloc	64.32%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.36% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.58% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.07% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.80% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	−8.47 pts	Left bloc	67.01%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)73.80% Lula (PT)26.20%	+47.61 pts	Right bloc	66.52%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)66.66% Lula (PT)23.87% Ciro (PPS)5.00% Garotinho (PSB)4.34% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.14%	+33.31 pts	Right bloc	70.84%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)80.07% Lula (PT)8.55% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.92% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.22% +8 more Enéas (PRONA)0.93% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.90% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.60% Sirkis (PV)0.58% Eymael (PSDC)0.47% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.29% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.29% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.18%	+64.46 pts	Right bloc	64.31%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)84.51% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)6.60% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.79% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.88% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.99% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.90% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.86% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.48%	+85.01 pts	Right bloc	70.52%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Espinosa immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.