MG · Araxá immediate region

Ibiá: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Ibiá with 53.80% of valid votes against 46.20% for Lula: a margin of 7.60 points, 11.17 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +5.21pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 16,841; 178th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 6; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Ibiá+7.60 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.80% Lula (PT)46.20%	+7.60 pts	Right bloc	77.65%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)54.56% Lula (PT)38.63% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.50% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.05% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.40% Zema (NOVO)0.75% Samara (UP)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%	+17.56 pts	Right bloc	74.71%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)50.08% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)49.92%	−0.15 pts	Left bloc	75.58%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.77% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.96% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.41% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.65% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.75% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.35% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	−2.96 pts	Left bloc	73.61%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)57.20% Fernando Haddad (PT)42.80%	+14.40 pts	Right bloc	70.65%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)48.39% Fernando Haddad (PT)30.66% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.62% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.60% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.32% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.66% Marina Silva (REDE)0.51% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.48% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.46% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.23% Eymael (DC)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.02%	+23.90 pts	Right bloc	70.25%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)54.55% Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.45%	−9.11 pts	Left bloc	73.37%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.76% Aécio Neves (PSDB)39.70% Marina Silva (PSB)11.60% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.04% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.44% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.24% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.13% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.01%	−19.40 pts	Left bloc	74.54%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.93% José Serra (PSDB)48.07%	−3.85 pts	Left bloc	75.63%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)45.68% José Serra (PSDB)41.55% Marina Silva (PV)11.92% Plínio (PSOL)0.62% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−16.67 pts	Left bloc	77.41%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)50.66% Lula (PT)49.34%	+1.32 pts	Right bloc	77.70%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)56.63% Lula (PT)36.81% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.82% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.61% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.02%	+13.53 pts	Right bloc	80.20%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.48% José Serra (PSDB)40.52%	−18.95 pts	Left bloc	79.61%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.17% José Serra (PSDB)25.42% Garotinho (PSB)12.53% Ciro (PPS)12.29% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.51% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.08%	−49.16 pts	Left bloc	82.23%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)57.50% Lula (PT)25.37% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.27% Enéas (PRONA)2.93% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.53% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.51% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.44% Eymael (PSDC)0.37% Sirkis (PV)0.35% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.30% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.26% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.17%	+23.06 pts	Right bloc	81.41%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)68.29% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)19.52% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)7.23% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.37% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.17% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.62% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.53% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.27%	+59.89 pts	Right bloc	85.25%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Araxá immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.