MG · Divinópolis immediate region

Itapecerica: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Itapecerica with 50.02% of valid votes against 49.98% for Lula: a margin of 0.04 points, 3.61 points right of Brazil.

Toss-upSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +2.40pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 17,090; 173th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Itapecerica+0.04 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)50.02% Lula (PT)49.98%	+0.04 pts	Right bloc	86.01%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)49.23% Lula (PT)42.66% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.35% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.07% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.77% Zema (NOVO)0.72% Samara (UP)0.08% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%	+7.65 pts	Right bloc	83.94%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.78% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)46.22%	−7.56 pts	Left bloc	82.46%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)53.02% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)39.35% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.95% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.31% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.93% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.32% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−10.76 pts	Left bloc	81.22%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)56.63% Fernando Haddad (PT)43.37%	+13.26 pts	Right bloc	78.55%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.42% Fernando Haddad (PT)25.30% Ciro Gomes (PDT)13.26% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.55% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)5.46% Marina Silva (REDE)0.86% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.77% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.45% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.41% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.39% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.03%	+20.08 pts	Right bloc	79.45%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)58.79% Dilma (PT)41.21%	+17.59 pts	Right bloc	81.00%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)53.47% Dilma (PT)36.03% Marina Silva (PSB)8.57% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.92% +6 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.57% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.26% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.11% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.02% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.01%	+7.71 pts	Right bloc	83.20%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.95% Dilma (PT)47.05%	+5.90 pts	Right bloc	83.03%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)44.85% Dilma (PT)40.29% Marina Silva (PV)14.17% Plínio (PSOL)0.39% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−9.88 pts	Left bloc	84.82%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)55.84% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)44.16%	−11.68 pts	Left bloc	86.12%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)52.12% Lula (PT)40.77% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)4.55% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.34% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.07% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	+4.67 pts	Right bloc	88.21%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)62.68% José Serra (PSDB)37.32%	−25.36 pts	Left bloc	79.33%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.42% José Serra (PSDB)33.08% Ciro (PPS)7.08% Garotinho (PSB)4.88% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.47% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.07%	−33.84 pts	Left bloc	82.91%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)58.55% Lula (PT)24.27% Ciro Gomes (PPS)10.54% Enéas (PRONA)3.02% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.62% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.59% Sirkis (PV)0.56% Eymael (PSDC)0.45% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.42% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.41% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.35% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.23%	+26.03 pts	Right bloc	83.45%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)67.94% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)20.61% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.77% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.25% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.03% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.01% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.99% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.39%	+56.80 pts	Right bloc	87.70%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2026(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Divinópolis immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.