MG · Ipatinga immediate region

Joanésia: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Joanésia with 53.56% of valid votes against 46.44% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 7.12 points, 3.55 points left of Brazil.

Likely leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −8.14pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 5,117; 584th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Joanésia−7.12 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)53.56% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)46.44%	−7.12 pts	Left bloc	73.66%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.40% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)45.03% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.51% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.55% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.93% Zema (NOVO)0.47% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Samara (UP)0.00%	−3.94 pts	Left bloc	70.59%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.77% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.23%	−13.54 pts	Left bloc	72.41%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)55.22% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)38.27% Simone Tebet (MDB)3.51% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.78% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.59% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.56% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.03% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−14.06 pts	Left bloc	70.92%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.89% Fernando Haddad (PT)46.11%	+7.78 pts	Right bloc	66.40%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)42.42% Fernando Haddad (PT)39.20% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.44% Ciro Gomes (PDT)5.16% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.48% Alvaro Dias (PODE)1.51% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.07% Marina Silva (REDE)0.80% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.60% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.23% Eymael (DC)0.07% Vera (PSTU)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	+9.19 pts	Right bloc	69.86%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.16% Aécio Neves (PSDB)34.84%	−30.32 pts	Left bloc	71.74%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)52.39% Aécio Neves (PSDB)32.72% Marina Silva (PSB)13.97% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.30% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.26% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.13% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.10% Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.03% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03%	−33.64 pts	Left bloc	71.78%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)70.99% José Serra (PSDB)29.01%	−41.98 pts	Left bloc	72.45%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)63.66% José Serra (PSDB)25.17% Marina Silva (PV)10.48% Plínio (PSOL)0.36% +4 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.10% Eymael (PSDC)0.10% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03%	−49.40 pts	Left bloc	75.74%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)75.48% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)24.52%	−50.96 pts	Left bloc	77.58%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)67.54% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)28.52% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.87% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.80% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.21% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.07%	−42.39 pts	Left bloc	79.55%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)67.37% José Serra (PSDB)32.63%	−34.74 pts	Left bloc	63.01%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)51.75% Garotinho (PSB)19.97% José Serra (PSDB)17.99% Ciro (PPS)9.76% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.53%	−64.02 pts	Left bloc	68.54%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)62.49% Lula (PT)21.88% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.43% Enéas (PRONA)1.83% +8 more João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.49% Sirkis (PV)1.15% Zé Maria (PSTU)1.06% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.02% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.59% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.38% Eymael (PSDC)0.38% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.30%	+31.95 pts	Right bloc	66.37%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)61.35% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)28.55% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.71% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.09% +4 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.57% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.66% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.58% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.49%	+41.57 pts	Right bloc	71.51%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Ipatinga immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.