50mais1

MG · Guaxupé immediate region

Monte Belo: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Monte Belo with 53.44% of valid votes against 46.56% for Lula: a margin of 6.89 points, 10.46 points right of Brazil.

Lean rightSwing
Lean versus Brazil
+6.22pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
10,840
275th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes
4
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 3 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Monte Belo+6.89 pts
  • Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.44%
  • Lula (PT)46.56%
+6.89 ptsRight bloc79.58%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)51.99%
  • Lula (PT)40.70%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.75%
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.05%
+8 more
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.75%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.61%
  • Samara (UP)0.09%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.05%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%
+12.81 ptsRight bloc77.98%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)50.38%
  • Lula (PT)49.62%
+0.76 ptsRight bloc79.01%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)48.21%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)43.88%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)4.28%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.36%
+7 more
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.98%
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.22%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.01%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%
−1.19 ptsLeft bloc77.58%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)58.50%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)41.50%
+17.01 ptsRight bloc76.24%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)42.38%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)27.77%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)10.73%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)8.81%
+9 more
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.62%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.77%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.75%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.47%
  • Marina Silva (REDE)0.34%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.32%
  • Eymael (DC)0.04%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.00%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%
+21.68 ptsRight bloc76.95%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)52.03%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)47.97%
−4.06 ptsLeft bloc76.71%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)47.41%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)44.62%
  • Marina Silva (PSB)6.35%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.00%
+6 more
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.20%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.20%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.13%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−10.05 ptsLeft bloc80.50%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)50.17%
  • Dilma (PT)49.83%
+0.33 ptsRight bloc79.22%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)46.79%
  • José Serra (PSDB)46.55%
  • Marina Silva (PV)6.00%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.41%
+5 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.05%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%
−6.69 ptsLeft bloc81.02%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)56.39%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)43.61%
−12.78 ptsLeft bloc81.95%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)50.56%
  • Lula (PT)44.72%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.95%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.56%
+3 more
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.16%
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.01%
+1.52 ptsRight bloc83.15%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • José Serra (PSDB)57.25%
  • Lula (PT)42.75%
+14.50 ptsRight bloc82.38%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • José Serra (PSDB)52.02%
  • Lula (PT)34.29%
  • Ciro (PPS)6.77%
  • Garotinho (PSB)6.65%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.25%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%
+4.03 ptsRight bloc84.34%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)70.37%
  • Lula (PT)15.89%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.23%
  • Enéas (PRONA)1.89%
+8 more
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.09%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.66%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.66%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.59%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.57%
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.42%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.33%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.30%
+47.92 ptsRight bloc82.33%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)71.03%
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)14.00%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.03%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)5.65%
+4 more
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.92%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.65%
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.46%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.25%
+71.07 ptsRight bloc85.16%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2010(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2014(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
  • 2022(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Guaxupé immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.