MG · Salinas immediate region

Padre Carvalho: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Padre Carvalho with 67.41% of valid votes against 32.59% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 34.82 points, 31.25 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −39.13pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 5,095; 587th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 8 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Padre Carvalho−34.82 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)67.41% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)32.59%	−34.82 pts	Left bloc	65.42%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)62.34% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)31.59% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.37% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.80% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.61% Zema (NOVO)0.19% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.03% Samara (UP)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00%	−31.56 pts	Left bloc	64.30%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)70.97% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)29.03%	−41.94 pts	Left bloc	64.55%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)70.14% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)25.94% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.57% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.34% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.74% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.13% Léo Péricles (UP)0.10% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.00% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−43.70 pts	Left bloc	63.87%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)74.64% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)25.36%	−49.29 pts	Left bloc	59.55%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)65.92% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)19.70% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.07% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)3.85% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.18% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.11% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.43% Marina Silva (REDE)0.32% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.21% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.21% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−47.04 pts	Left bloc	62.19%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)65.07% Aécio Neves (PSDB)34.93%	−30.13 pts	Left bloc	64.15%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.82% Aécio Neves (PSDB)30.64% Marina Silva (PSB)6.61% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.48% +4 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.17% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.17% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	−37.77 pts	Left bloc	65.44%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)82.99% José Serra (PSDB)17.01%	−65.98 pts	Left bloc	67.38%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)80.81% José Serra (PSDB)14.63% Marina Silva (PV)4.45% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.11%	−70.75 pts	Left bloc	68.50%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)75.60% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)24.40%	−51.20 pts	Left bloc	67.49%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)62.60% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)34.42% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.73% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.09% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.12% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.04%	−30.83 pts	Left bloc	69.74%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)56.86% José Serra (PSDB)43.14%	−13.73 pts	Left bloc	66.01%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)55.82% José Serra (PSDB)40.22% Garotinho (PSB)2.70% Ciro (PPS)1.26%	−19.56 pts	Left bloc	67.49%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)76.30% Lula (PT)14.41% Ciro Gomes (PPS)3.33% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.28% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)1.09% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.09% Sirkis (PV)1.02% Enéas (PRONA)0.45% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.38% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.26% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.26% Eymael (PSDC)0.13%	+55.54 pts	Right bloc	71.54%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Salinas immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.