MG · Juiz de Fora immediate region

Rio Novo: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Rio Novo with 57.42% of valid votes against 42.58% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 14.84 points, 11.27 points left of Brazil.

Likely leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −11.73pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 7,129; 416th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Rio Novo−14.84 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.42% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)42.58%	−14.84 pts	Left bloc	80.03%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)50.68% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)42.23% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.07% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.99% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.35% Zema (NOVO)0.41% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.10% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.08% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Samara (UP)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00%	−7.85 pts	Left bloc	75.89%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)59.14% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)40.86%	−18.28 pts	Left bloc	79.47%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)56.63% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)37.04% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.94% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.14% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.70% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.33% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02%	−19.35 pts	Left bloc	78.29%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)50.29% Fernando Haddad (PT)49.71%	+0.59 pts	Right bloc	75.29%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)43.27% Fernando Haddad (PT)29.77% Ciro Gomes (PDT)16.73% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.60% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.25% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.02% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.80% Marina Silva (REDE)0.58% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.52% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.40% Eymael (DC)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02%	+4.74 pts	Right bloc	76.47%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)53.38% Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.62%	−6.77 pts	Left bloc	80.91%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)46.06% Dilma (PT)39.57% Marina Silva (PSB)11.51% Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.19% +7 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.98% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.25% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.17% Eymael (PSDC)0.12% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.10% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%	−6.81 pts	Left bloc	82.29%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.48% José Serra (PSDB)44.52%	−10.96 pts	Left bloc	83.58%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)46.89% José Serra (PSDB)33.42% Marina Silva (PV)18.94% Plínio (PSOL)0.54% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−32.96 pts	Left bloc	85.82%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)63.56% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)36.44%	−27.11 pts	Left bloc	79.41%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)47.91% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)42.80% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.21% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.87% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.13% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−13.99 pts	Left bloc	81.77%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.48% José Serra (PSDB)45.52%	−8.96 pts	Left bloc	81.63%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)43.73% José Serra (PSDB)25.69% Ciro (PPS)15.40% Garotinho (PSB)14.66% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.48% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−48.62 pts	Left bloc	84.41%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)40.76% Ciro Gomes (PPS)28.12% Lula (PT)22.51% Enéas (PRONA)2.93% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)2.57% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.55% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.52% Eymael (PSDC)0.50% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.50% Sirkis (PV)0.43% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.40% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.21%	−9.35 pts	Left bloc	83.81%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)68.85% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)13.72% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)8.52% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.46% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.33% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.13% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.54% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.45%	+69.89 pts	Right bloc	86.49%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Juiz de Fora immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.