MG · São Sebastião do Paraíso immediate region

São Sebastião do Paraíso: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won São Sebastião do Paraíso with 55.61% of valid votes against 44.39% for Lula: a margin of 11.22 points, 14.79 points right of Brazil.

Likely rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +14.69pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 51,165; 58th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 2; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

São Sebastião do Paraíso+11.22 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)55.61% Lula (PT)44.39%	+11.22 pts	Right bloc	76.20%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)53.16% Lula (PT)35.40% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)4.62% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)2.89% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)2.28% Zema (NOVO)1.45% Samara (UP)0.10% Clariana Barao (DC)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02%	+19.64 pts	Right bloc	74.05%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)55.99% Lula (PT)44.01%	+11.97 pts	Right bloc	75.73%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)47.55% Lula (PT)41.02% Simone Tebet (MDB)6.97% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.48% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)1.23% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.52% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.08% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%	+12.71 pts	Right bloc	74.74%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)64.99% Fernando Haddad (PT)35.01%	+29.98 pts	Right bloc	72.31%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)49.02% Fernando Haddad (PT)19.07% Ciro Gomes (PDT)11.37% João Amoêdo (NOVO)9.92% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.88% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.07% Marina Silva (REDE)0.91% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.68% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.53% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.43% Vera (PSTU)0.08% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Eymael (DC)0.02%	+36.03 pts	Right bloc	74.41%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)51.84% Dilma (PT)48.16%	+3.68 pts	Right bloc	77.53%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)45.21% Dilma (PT)36.00% Marina Silva (PSB)14.56% Luciana Genro (PSOL)2.13% +7 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.09% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.61% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.24% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−6.85 pts	Left bloc	79.55%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)51.32% Dilma (PT)48.68%	+2.64 pts	Right bloc	79.54%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)42.33% Dilma (PT)40.27% Marina Silva (PV)16.40% Plínio (PSOL)0.76% +5 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.08% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−15.09 pts	Left bloc	82.18%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.84% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)45.16%	−9.67 pts	Left bloc	82.13%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)53.00% Lula (PT)39.11% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)5.02% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.53% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.14% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05%	+6.67 pts	Right bloc	83.58%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)60.51% José Serra (PSDB)39.49%	−21.03 pts	Left bloc	82.44%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.66% José Serra (PSDB)30.39% Ciro (PPS)9.76% Garotinho (PSB)9.51% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.61% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%	−39.21 pts	Left bloc	85.69%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)66.26% Lula (PT)16.62% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.78% Enéas (PRONA)2.38% +8 more Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.48% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.47% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.43% Sirkis (PV)0.43% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.41% Eymael (PSDC)0.36% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.24% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.12%	+39.68 pts	Right bloc	85.17%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)68.95% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)15.77% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)6.30% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.94% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.10% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.99% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.62% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.33%	+67.21 pts	Right bloc	88.35%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2010(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the São Sebastião do Paraíso immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.