MG · Teófilo Otoni immediate region

Setubinha: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Setubinha with 74.13% of valid votes against 25.87% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 48.27 points, 44.70 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −55.77pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 9,305; 324th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 8 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Setubinha−48.27 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)74.13% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)25.87%	−48.27 pts	Left bloc	69.54%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)68.47% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)27.03% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.40% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.00% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.80% Zema (NOVO)0.16% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.03% Clariana Barao (DC)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.02% Samara (UP)0.02%	−41.96 pts	Left bloc	66.83%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)79.91% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)20.09%	−59.82 pts	Left bloc	65.82%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)77.65% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)17.75% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.00% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.40% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.80% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.17% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.13% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−58.29 pts	Left bloc	64.33%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)82.84% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)17.16%	−65.69 pts	Left bloc	60.80%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)74.55% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)11.77% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)5.38% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.64% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)2.22% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.36% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.32% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.30% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.21% Marina Silva (REDE)0.15% Vera (PSTU)0.04% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.04% Eymael (DC)0.00%	−59.27 pts	Left bloc	62.16%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)78.12% Aécio Neves (PSDB)21.88%	−56.23 pts	Left bloc	63.55%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)75.10% Aécio Neves (PSDB)21.21% Marina Silva (PSB)2.73% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.45% +6 more Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.17% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.06% Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04%	−57.03 pts	Left bloc	63.21%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)80.26% José Serra (PSDB)19.74%	−60.51 pts	Left bloc	59.88%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)72.66% José Serra (PSDB)21.87% Marina Silva (PV)5.08% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.12% +4 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.12% Plínio (PSOL)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Eymael (PSDC)0.02%	−55.97 pts	Left bloc	62.58%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)74.66% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)25.34%	−49.32 pts	Left bloc	65.60%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.71% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)39.06% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)4.78% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)0.93% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.38% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.13% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−20.83 pts	Left bloc	70.68%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)73.53% Lula (PT)26.47%	+47.06 pts	Right bloc	69.00%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)70.42% Lula (PT)23.07% Garotinho (PSB)4.37% Ciro (PPS)1.80% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.03%	+40.85 pts	Right bloc	68.75%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)71.09% Lula (PT)8.31% Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.15% Enéas (PRONA)3.80% +8 more Sirkis (PV)1.60% Zé Maria (PSTU)1.49% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.49% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.21% Eymael (PSDC)1.10% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.83% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.55% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.39%	+55.51 pts	Right bloc	66.56%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Teófilo Otoni immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.