MG · Caratinga immediate region

Vargem Alegre: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Vargem Alegre with 52.54% of valid votes against 47.46% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 5.09 points, 1.52 points left of Brazil.

Lean leftSwingBellwether

Lean versus Brazil: −5.40pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 5,429; 553th largest electorate in Minas Gerais
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 8 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: Yes; Voted for the national winner in every runoff from 2002 to 2026.

On the map of Minas Gerais

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Vargem Alegre−5.09 pts
Minas Gerais−0.87 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)52.54% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.46%	−5.09 pts	Left bloc	80.60%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.02% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)47.14% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.60% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.00% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.73% Zema (NOVO)0.43% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.05% Samara (UP)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−1.40 pts	Left bloc	77.26%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.13% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)45.87%	−8.26 pts	Left bloc	72.94%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)54.88% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)42.31% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.15% Simone Tebet (MDB)0.85% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.63% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.12% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Léo Péricles (UP)0.00%	−12.05 pts	Left bloc	70.98%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)53.59% Fernando Haddad (PT)46.41%	+7.18 pts	Right bloc	64.58%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)46.43% Fernando Haddad (PT)41.68% Ciro Gomes (PDT)4.93% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.38% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.82% João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.21% Marina Silva (REDE)0.53% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.43% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.33% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.20% Eymael (DC)0.03% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	+5.26 pts	Right bloc	67.26%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)62.85% Aécio Neves (PSDB)37.15%	−25.70 pts	Left bloc	67.58%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)57.97% Aécio Neves (PSDB)26.59% Marina Silva (PSB)14.27% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.45% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.26% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.19% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.17% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05%	−45.39 pts	Left bloc	71.18%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)67.72% José Serra (PSDB)32.28%	−35.44 pts	Left bloc	68.99%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)61.32% José Serra (PSDB)28.43% Marina Silva (PV)9.89% Plínio (PSOL)0.30% +1 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05%	−43.04 pts	Left bloc	72.49%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)79.06% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.94%	−58.11 pts	Left bloc	71.60%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)69.55% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)26.73% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.02% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.53% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.16% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%	−46.18 pts	Left bloc	74.40%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)57.14% José Serra (PSDB)42.86%	−14.28 pts	Left bloc	70.61%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)43.01% Garotinho (PSB)34.25% José Serra (PSDB)19.41% Ciro (PPS)3.01% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.32%	−61.18 pts	Left bloc	74.54%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)60.99% Lula (PT)27.20% Ciro Gomes (PPS)7.04% Enéas (PRONA)1.60% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.71% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.67% Sirkis (PV)0.45% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.41% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.34% Eymael (PSDC)0.30% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.19% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.11%	+27.05 pts	Right bloc	70.72%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2018(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2022(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Caratinga immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.