PA · Itaituba immediate region

Novo Progresso: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Flavio Bolsonaro won Novo Progresso with 84.31% of valid votes against 15.69% for Lula: a margin of 68.61 points, 72.18 points right of Brazil.

Solid rightSwing

Lean versus Brazil: +60.75pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 24,782; 70th largest electorate in Pará
Side changes: 4; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Did not vote for the national winner in the 2026 runoff.

On the map of Pará

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Novo Progresso+68.61 pts
Pará−10.03 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)84.31% Lula (PT)15.69%	+68.61 pts	Right bloc	73.38%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)84.13% Lula (PT)13.40% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.06% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.87% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.47% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01% Zema (NOVO)0.01% Samara (UP)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	+70.97 pts	Right bloc	72.99%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)82.92% Lula (PT)17.08%	+65.84 pts	Right bloc	70.73%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PL)79.60% Lula (PT)17.57% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.72% Ciro Gomes (PDT)0.85% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.17% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.04% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.02% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	+63.12 pts	Right bloc	68.59%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)78.18% Fernando Haddad (PT)21.82%	+56.37 pts	Right bloc	64.21%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)72.75% Fernando Haddad (PT)17.43% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)4.16% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.57% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.72% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.39% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.37% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.25% Marina Silva (REDE)0.17% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.14% Vera (PSTU)0.02% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.02% Eymael (DC)0.02%	+59.31 pts	Right bloc	66.42%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Aécio Neves (PSDB)60.17% Dilma (PT)39.83%	+20.33 pts	Right bloc	65.76%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Aécio Neves (PSDB)59.87% Dilma (PT)36.79% Marina Silva (PSB)1.95% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)1.07% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.13% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.09% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.07% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.03% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	+22.13 pts	Right bloc	69.11%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)55.25% José Serra (PSDB)44.75%	−10.50 pts	Left bloc	60.25%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)53.50% José Serra (PSDB)44.03% Marina Silva (PV)1.88% Plínio (PSOL)0.44% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.03% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.02%	−11.77 pts	Left bloc	64.29%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)63.64% Lula (PT)36.36%	+27.29 pts	Right bloc	71.29%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)70.76% Lula (PT)25.28% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.51% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.34% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.08% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.02%	+41.72 pts	Right bloc	74.78%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)54.49% José Serra (PSDB)45.51%	−8.99 pts	Left bloc	60.31%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)42.52% José Serra (PSDB)29.87% Ciro (PPS)15.75% Garotinho (PSB)11.59% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.27%	−40.26 pts	Left bloc	67.35%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)82.55% Lula (PT)9.16% Ciro Gomes (PPS)3.12% Enéas (PRONA)1.69% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.28% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.70% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.29% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.26% Eymael (PSDC)0.26% Sirkis (PV)0.26% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.22% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.22%	+70.53 pts	Right bloc	58.03%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)52.99% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)15.17% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)10.43% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)7.21% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)6.93% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)5.97% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.89% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.41%	+64.72 pts	Right bloc	53.37%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2006(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2010(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2014(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc

Other municipalities in the Itaituba immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.