PB · Campina Grande immediate region

Esperança: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Esperança with 69.39% of valid votes against 30.61% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 38.79 points, 35.22 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −35.46pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 26,012; 16th largest electorate in Paraíba
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Paraíba

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Esperança−38.79 pts
Paraíba−34.93 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)69.39% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)30.61%	−38.79 pts	Left bloc	85.94%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)62.38% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)31.58% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)3.55% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.76% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.57% Samara (UP)0.05% Zema (NOVO)0.05% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.01% Clariana Barao (DC)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−32.04 pts	Left bloc	83.26%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)68.62% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)31.38%	−37.24 pts	Left bloc	83.24%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)65.71% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)27.67% Ciro Gomes (PDT)3.54% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.44% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.27% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.23% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.03% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.01%	−38.60 pts	Left bloc	81.53%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)65.35% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)34.65%	−30.69 pts	Left bloc	83.73%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)46.66% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)30.94% Ciro Gomes (PDT)15.86% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.96% +9 more João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.19% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.74% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.66% Marina Silva (REDE)0.52% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.22% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.20% Eymael (DC)0.03% Vera (PSTU)0.01% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01%	−26.55 pts	Left bloc	82.90%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)64.40% Aécio Neves (PSDB)35.60%	−28.79 pts	Left bloc	77.07%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)55.76% Aécio Neves (PSDB)25.48% Marina Silva (PSB)16.44% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.75% +6 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.64% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.53% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.24% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−46.39 pts	Left bloc	76.52%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)51.68% José Serra (PSDB)48.32%	−3.36 pts	Left bloc	77.27%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)47.79% José Serra (PSDB)39.40% Marina Silva (PV)11.95% Plínio (PSOL)0.57% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.13% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.03%	−20.87 pts	Left bloc	76.52%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)74.58% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)25.42%	−49.15 pts	Left bloc	79.20%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)66.88% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)28.33% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)2.36% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.21% +3 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.11% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.06% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−42.91 pts	Left bloc	79.34%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)50.08% Lula (PT)49.92%	+0.17 pts	Right bloc	75.92%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)49.12% José Serra (PSDB)36.44% Garotinho (PSB)8.40% Ciro (PPS)5.69% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.30% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−27.12 pts	Left bloc	75.78%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)56.23% Lula (PT)26.51% Ciro Gomes (PPS)11.55% Enéas (PRONA)1.19% +8 more Zé Maria (PSTU)1.03% Sirkis (PV)0.88% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.74% Eymael (PSDC)0.53% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.44% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.35% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.29% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.27%	+17.90 pts	Right bloc	72.56%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)72.41% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)19.89% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)3.03% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)2.77% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.88% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.41% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.38% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.22%	+58.46 pts	Right bloc	78.49%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Campina Grande immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.