PB · Itabaiana immediate region

Mogeiro: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Mogeiro with 70.21% of valid votes against 29.79% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 40.42 points, 36.85 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −41.06pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 11,482; 64th largest electorate in Paraíba
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Paraíba

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Mogeiro−40.42 pts
Paraíba−34.93 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)70.21% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)29.79%	−40.42 pts	Left bloc	85.42%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)65.07% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)31.19% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.30% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.88% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.45% Zema (NOVO)0.05% Samara (UP)0.03% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−34.85 pts	Left bloc	82.74%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)69.93% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)30.07%	−39.85 pts	Left bloc	82.65%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)68.72% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)27.52% Simone Tebet (MDB)1.91% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.48% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.18% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.08% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.07% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00%	−40.43 pts	Left bloc	82.01%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)72.47% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)27.53%	−44.94 pts	Left bloc	86.71%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)61.27% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)25.39% Ciro Gomes (PDT)6.76% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)2.72% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)2.12% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.78% Marina Silva (REDE)0.31% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.28% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.23% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.12% Vera (PSTU)0.01% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.01% Eymael (DC)0.00%	−37.19 pts	Left bloc	87.11%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)70.96% Aécio Neves (PSDB)29.04%	−41.92 pts	Left bloc	72.34%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)70.41% Aécio Neves (PSDB)17.09% Marina Silva (PSB)11.64% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.45% +6 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.15% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.07% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.05% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−64.72 pts	Left bloc	72.94%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)63.68% José Serra (PSDB)36.32%	−27.37 pts	Left bloc	73.20%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)63.08% José Serra (PSDB)31.81% Marina Silva (PV)4.86% Plínio (PSOL)0.09% +4 more Eymael (PSDC)0.07% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−36.12 pts	Left bloc	72.86%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)75.59% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)24.41%	−51.19 pts	Left bloc	74.63%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)67.50% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)30.00% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.29% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.85% +3 more José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.17% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.15% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.03%	−39.29 pts	Left bloc	74.58%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.67% Lula (PT)47.33%	+5.34 pts	Right bloc	71.38%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)43.16% José Serra (PSDB)42.46% Garotinho (PSB)10.02% Ciro (PPS)4.25% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.04%	−15.07 pts	Left bloc	71.76%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)65.46% Lula (PT)23.89% Ciro Gomes (PPS)5.24% Zé Maria (PSTU)1.11% +8 more Enéas (PRONA)0.92% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.87% Sirkis (PV)0.72% Eymael (PSDC)0.52% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.33% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.33% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.33% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.28%	+35.68 pts	Right bloc	72.18%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)43.08% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)35.42% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)17.62% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)1.08% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)0.87% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.77% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.77% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.40%	+27.62 pts	Right bloc	77.66%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Itabaiana immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.