PB · Cajazeiras immediate region

Serra Grande: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Serra Grande with 87.05% of valid votes against 12.95% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 74.11 points, 70.54 points left of Brazil.

Solid leftSwing

Lean versus Brazil: −72.89pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,110; 205th largest electorate in Paraíba
Side changes: 3; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Paraíba

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Serra Grande−74.11 pts
Paraíba−34.93 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)87.05% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)12.95%	−74.11 pts	Left bloc	79.74%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)81.91% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)13.86% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.84% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.58% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.68% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.04% Zema (NOVO)0.04% Samara (UP)0.04% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−67.66 pts	Left bloc	78.87%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)85.77% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)14.23%	−71.54 pts	Left bloc	75.76%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)81.36% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)13.02% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.79% Simone Tebet (MDB)2.41% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.17% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.13% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−68.47 pts	Left bloc	76.72%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)86.99% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)13.01%	−73.98 pts	Left bloc	73.32%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)70.05% Ciro Gomes (PDT)14.61% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)11.10% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)1.60% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.05% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.46% Marina Silva (REDE)0.37% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.37% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.23% Vera (PSTU)0.09% Eymael (DC)0.05% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.05% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−70.32 pts	Left bloc	77.52%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)86.17% Aécio Neves (PSDB)13.83%	−72.34 pts	Left bloc	79.41%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)79.42% Aécio Neves (PSDB)10.36% Marina Silva (PSB)9.22% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.59% +3 more Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.20% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.15% Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	−77.99 pts	Left bloc	79.92%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)79.42% José Serra (PSDB)20.58%	−58.83 pts	Left bloc	75.47%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)78.53% José Serra (PSDB)14.93% Marina Silva (PV)6.16% Plínio (PSOL)0.25% +2 more Eymael (PSDC)0.06% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.06%	−70.01 pts	Left bloc	79.42%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)81.95% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)18.05%	−63.91 pts	Left bloc	80.04%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)74.14% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)19.91% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)3.60% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.02% +2 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.27% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	−59.52 pts	Left bloc	82.34%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)52.99% Lula (PT)47.01%	+5.99 pts	Right bloc	83.91%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)46.58% José Serra (PSDB)44.67% Ciro (PPS)4.85% Garotinho (PSB)3.67% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.15% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.07%	−10.65 pts	Left bloc	85.86%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Lula (PT)38.82% Fernando Henrique (PSDB)36.34% Ciro Gomes (PPS)16.74% Zé Maria (PSTU)2.39% +8 more Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.38% Enéas (PRONA)1.29% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.20% Sirkis (PV)0.92% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.46% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.28% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.09% Eymael (PSDC)0.09%	−22.91 pts	Left bloc	70.70%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)53.54% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)31.33% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)7.61% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)4.25% +4 more Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.24% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.88% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.62% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.53%	+34.87 pts	Right bloc	72.90%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
2002(Round 2)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2002(between rounds)·Left bloc→Right bloc
2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Cajazeiras immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.