PE · Carpina immediate region

Buenos Aires: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Buenos Aires with 78.20% of valid votes against 21.80% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 56.39 points, 52.82 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −56.33pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 11,988; 138th largest electorate in Pernambuco
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Pernambuco

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Buenos Aires−56.39 pts
Pernambuco−38.40 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)78.20% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)21.80%	−56.39 pts	Left bloc	85.25%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)74.15% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)22.71% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.13% Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.07% +8 more Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.80% Zema (NOVO)0.07% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Samara (UP)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−50.72 pts	Left bloc	81.39%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)77.17% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)22.83%	−54.33 pts	Left bloc	83.14%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)76.21% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)20.80% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.11% Simone Tebet (MDB)0.65% +7 more Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.13% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06% Léo Péricles (UP)0.02% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.00%	−56.72 pts	Left bloc	82.38%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)80.36% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)19.64%	−60.71 pts	Left bloc	82.77%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)61.61% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)18.23% Ciro Gomes (PDT)15.26% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)1.74% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.45% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.57% Marina Silva (REDE)0.39% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.37% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.19% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.19% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−54.92 pts	Left bloc	84.95%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)77.88% Aécio Neves (PSDB)22.12%	−55.76 pts	Left bloc	75.54%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)52.35% Marina Silva (PSB)40.37% Aécio Neves (PSDB)6.31% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.52% +6 more Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.19% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.11% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.08% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.04% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.01% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−87.00 pts	Left bloc	79.77%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)81.98% José Serra (PSDB)18.02%	−63.96 pts	Left bloc	76.73%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)74.34% José Serra (PSDB)16.40% Marina Silva (PV)9.00% Plínio (PSOL)0.13% +3 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07% Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.03%	−67.15 pts	Left bloc	80.97%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)82.70% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)17.30%	−65.41 pts	Left bloc	85.10%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)79.26% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)17.98% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.39% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.14% +3 more Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.13% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.06% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%	−63.58 pts	Left bloc	88.19%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	Lula (PT)63.47% José Serra (PSDB)36.53%	−26.95 pts	Left bloc	67.73%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	Lula (PT)52.64% José Serra (PSDB)27.33% Garotinho (PSB)16.64% Ciro (PPS)3.20% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.18% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%	−45.34 pts	Left bloc	73.52%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)44.71% Lula (PT)43.30% Ciro Gomes (PPS)4.47% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.43% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)1.41% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)1.04% Enéas (PRONA)0.92% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.69% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.57% Sirkis (PV)0.57% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.53% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.35%	−2.78 pts	Left bloc	73.62%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)47.93% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)43.58% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.64% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.34% +4 more Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)1.27% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)1.08% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.66% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.49%	+10.68 pts	Right bloc	77.53%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Carpina immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.