PE · Afogados da Ingazeira immediate region

Carnaíba: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Carnaíba with 85.35% of valid votes against 14.65% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 70.69 points, 67.12 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −72.88pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 16,880; 102th largest electorate in Pernambuco
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Pernambuco

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Carnaíba−70.69 pts
Pernambuco−38.40 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)85.35% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)14.65%	−70.69 pts	Left bloc	81.14%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)81.30% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)15.22% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)1.46% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)0.96% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.94% Zema (NOVO)0.06% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.02% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.02% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02% Samara (UP)0.02% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−65.65 pts	Left bloc	77.76%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)86.86% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)13.14%	−73.72 pts	Left bloc	78.19%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)86.11% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)11.38% Ciro Gomes (PDT)1.47% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.48% +7 more Simone Tebet (MDB)0.45% Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.06% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.04% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.01% Léo Péricles (UP)0.01% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−75.18 pts	Left bloc	77.22%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)89.22% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)10.78%	−78.44 pts	Left bloc	77.36%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)80.92% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)9.46% Ciro Gomes (PDT)7.75% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.47% +9 more Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)0.39% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.38% Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.32% Marina Silva (REDE)0.14% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.10% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.06% Vera (PSTU)0.01% Eymael (DC)0.01% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−77.85 pts	Left bloc	76.72%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)85.21% Aécio Neves (PSDB)14.79%	−70.42 pts	Left bloc	83.94%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)69.97% Marina Silva (PSB)27.38% Aécio Neves (PSDB)2.12% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.24% +5 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.10% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.09% Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.07% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.02% Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.02%	−95.39 pts	Left bloc	85.11%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)84.21% José Serra (PSDB)15.79%	−68.43 pts	Left bloc	75.48%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)84.30% José Serra (PSDB)12.14% Marina Silva (PV)3.39% Plínio (PSOL)0.12% +2 more Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.04% Eymael (PSDC)0.01%	−75.60 pts	Left bloc	76.51%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)81.26% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)18.74%	−62.51 pts	Left bloc	83.35%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)75.61% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)22.45% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)0.92% Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.49% +3 more Heloísa Helena (PSOL)0.43% Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.05% José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.05%	−53.93 pts	Left bloc	84.15%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)53.51% Lula (PT)46.49%	+7.03 pts	Right bloc	66.34%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)45.26% Lula (PT)40.72% Garotinho (PSB)12.27% Ciro (PPS)1.68% +2 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.05% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%	−9.49 pts	Left bloc	69.09%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)55.55% Lula (PT)34.76% Ciro Gomes (PPS)3.01% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)1.39% +8 more Eymael (PSDC)1.11% Zé Maria (PSTU)1.07% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.87% Enéas (PRONA)0.76% Sirkis (PV)0.44% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.41% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.35% Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.31%	+16.95 pts	Right bloc	69.35%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)63.39% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)29.91% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)3.53% Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.82% +4 more Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)0.82% Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.74% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.56% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.23%	+39.06 pts	Right bloc	75.81%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Afogados da Ingazeira immediate region

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Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.