50mais1

PE · Recife immediate region

Paulista: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Paulista with 62.40% of valid votes against 37.60% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 24.80 points, 21.23 points left of Brazil.

Solid leftSwing
Lean versus Brazil
−20.75pts
Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026)
237,197
6th largest electorate in Pernambuco
Side changes
1
Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994. Plus 1 turn(s) between round 1 and round 2 of the same year.
Bellwether?
No
Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Pernambuco

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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Hover or tap a municipality; click to open its page.

← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

  • Paulista−24.80 pts
  • Pernambuco−38.40 pts
  • Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

YearRoundCandidates (% of valid votes)Margin (right − left)Bloc aheadTurnout
2026
10/25/2026
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)62.40%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)37.60%
−24.80 ptsLeft bloc86.54%
2026
10/04/2026
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)56.08%
  • Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)37.35%
  • Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.97%
  • Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.93%
+8 more
  • Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)1.39%
  • Zema (NOVO)0.14%
  • Samara (UP)0.05%
  • Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.03%
  • Clariana Barao (DC)0.02%
  • Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.01%
  • Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.01%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−18.33 ptsLeft bloc83.98%
2022
10/30/2022
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)58.28%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)41.72%
−16.55 ptsLeft bloc86.61%
2022
10/02/2022
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)56.44%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PL)37.78%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.68%
  • Simone Tebet (MDB)2.41%
+7 more
  • Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.35%
  • Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.18%
  • Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.06%
  • Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.04%
  • Léo Péricles (UP)0.03%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.01%
  • Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.01%
−18.40 ptsLeft bloc85.68%
2018
10/28/2018
Round 2
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)54.91%
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)45.09%
−9.82 ptsLeft bloc87.74%
2018
10/07/2018
Round 1
  • Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)41.99%
  • Fernando Haddad (PT)34.06%
  • Ciro Gomes (PDT)15.11%
  • Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)2.54%
+9 more
  • Marina Silva (REDE)1.70%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)1.47%
  • João Amoêdo (NOVO)1.25%
  • Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.84%
  • Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.66%
  • Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.26%
  • Vera (PSTU)0.06%
  • João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.03%
  • Eymael (DC)0.02%
−3.26 ptsLeft bloc87.98%
2014
10/26/2014
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)70.74%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)29.26%
−41.48 ptsLeft bloc83.33%
2014
10/05/2014
Round 1
  • Marina Silva (PSB)61.84%
  • Dilma (PT)31.43%
  • Aécio Neves (PSDB)3.88%
  • Luciana Genro (PSOL)1.49%
+7 more
  • Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.48%
  • Eduardo Jorge (PV)0.36%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.34%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.09%
  • Mauro Iasi (PCB)0.05%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.01%
−90.53 ptsLeft bloc84.77%
2010
10/31/2010
Round 2
  • Dilma (PT)76.07%
  • José Serra (PSDB)23.93%
−52.13 ptsLeft bloc82.98%
2010
10/03/2010
Round 1
  • Dilma (PT)53.06%
  • Marina Silva (PV)31.09%
  • José Serra (PSDB)15.03%
  • Plínio (PSOL)0.58%
+5 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.07%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.06%
  • Ivan Pinheiro (PCB)0.06%
  • Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.05%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00%
−69.73 ptsLeft bloc85.37%
2006
10/29/2006
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)79.77%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.23%
−59.54 ptsLeft bloc84.35%
2006
10/01/2006
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)70.08%
  • Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)20.80%
  • Heloísa Helena (PSOL)6.67%
  • Cristovam Buarque (PDT)2.15%
+3 more
  • Luciano Bivar (PSL)0.20%
  • Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.07%
  • José Maria Eymael (PSDC)0.04%
−57.79 ptsLeft bloc85.94%
2002
10/27/2002
Round 2
  • Lula (PT)68.33%
  • José Serra (PSDB)31.67%
−36.67 ptsLeft bloc83.22%
2002
10/06/2002
Round 1
  • Lula (PT)52.37%
  • Garotinho (PSB)24.85%
  • José Serra (PSDB)16.69%
  • Ciro (PPS)5.76%
+2 more
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.31%
  • Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.02%
−66.63 ptsLeft bloc84.45%
1998
10/04/1998
Round 1
  • Fernando Henrique (PSDB)45.72%
  • Lula (PT)42.96%
  • Ciro Gomes (PPS)8.86%
  • Enéas (PRONA)1.34%
+8 more
  • Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.34%
  • Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)0.22%
  • Zé Maria (PSTU)0.15%
  • Thereza Ruiz (PTN)0.13%
  • Vasco Neto (PSN)0.11%
  • Sirkis (PV)0.10%
  • João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.05%
  • Eymael (PSDC)0.03%
−4.67 ptsLeft bloc80.82%
1994
10/03/1994
Round 1
  • Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)46.24%
  • Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)43.63%
  • Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)6.67%
  • Orestes Quercia (PMDB)1.67%
+4 more
  • Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.72%
  • Esperidiao Amin Helou Filho (PPR)0.50%
  • Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.31%
  • Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.26%
+6.09 ptsRight bloc84.60%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

  • 1998(Round 1)·Right bloc→Left bloc
  • 2018(between rounds)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Recife immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.