RN · Pau dos Ferros immediate region

Água Nova: how it voted for president

In the 2026 runoff, Lula won Água Nova with 83.77% of valid votes against 16.23% for Flavio Bolsonaro: a margin of 67.54 points, 63.97 points left of Brazil.

Solid left

Lean versus Brazil: −74.47pts; Weighted mean of the municipality's right − left margin minus Brazil's in the 2026, 2022, 2018 and 2014 runoffs.
Electorate (2026): 3,008; 159th largest electorate in Rio Grande do Norte
Side changes: 1; Times the leading bloc changed from one election to the next, in 9 elections since 1994.
Bellwether?: No; Has voted for the national winner since 2022.

On the map of Rio Grande do Norte

2026 runoff, colored by margin: pale in tight races, deep in landslides. Click a municipality to open its page.

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← Left bloc aheadRight bloc ahead →

Margin in percentage points of valid votes (right − left).

Municipality, state and Brazil

Right − left margin in the 2026 runoff, in percentage points.

Água Nova−67.54 pts
Rio Grande do Norte−31.44 pts
Brazil−3.57 pts

Negative = left ahead; positive = right ahead.

Margin over time

Right − left margin in each election (the runoff where there was one), compared with Brazil's.

Every election

Year	Round	Candidates (% of valid votes)	Margin (right − left)	Bloc ahead	Turnout
2026 10/25/2026	Round 2	Lula (PT)83.77% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)16.23%	−67.54 pts	Left bloc	86.74%
2026 10/04/2026	Round 1	Lula (PT)77.88% Flavio Bolsonaro (PL)16.99% Escritor Augusto Cury (AVANTE)2.50% Renan Santos (MISSÃO)1.75% +8 more Ronaldo Caiado (PSD)0.79% Zema (NOVO)0.04% Samara (UP)0.04% Hertz Dias (PSTU)0.00% Edmilson Costa (PCB)0.00% Clariana Barao (DC)0.00% Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO)0.00% Veterinário Wilson Grassi (DEMOCRATA)0.00%	−60.85 pts	Left bloc	84.11%
2022 10/30/2022	Round 2	Lula (PT)88.75% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)11.25%	−77.51 pts	Left bloc	84.65%
2022 10/02/2022	Round 1	Lula (PT)85.07% Jair Bolsonaro (PL)10.84% Ciro Gomes (PDT)2.98% Simone Tebet (MDB)0.62% +7 more Felipe D Avila (NOVO)0.13% Padre Kelmon (PTB)0.09% Sofia Manzano (PCB)0.09% Soraya Thronicke (UNIÃO)0.09% Vera (PSTU)0.04% Léo Péricles (UP)0.04% Constituinte Eymael (DC)0.00%	−76.44 pts	Left bloc	83.92%
2018 10/28/2018	Round 2	Fernando Haddad (PT)90.75% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)9.25%	−81.51 pts	Left bloc	84.35%
2018 10/07/2018	Round 1	Fernando Haddad (PT)59.83% Ciro Gomes (PDT)29.97% Jair Bolsonaro (PSL)6.88% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)0.89% +9 more Henrique Meirelles (MDB)0.64% João Amoêdo (NOVO)0.64% Cabo Daciolo (PATRI)0.64% Alvaro Dias (PODE)0.30% Marina Silva (REDE)0.15% Guilherme Boulos (PSOL)0.05% Vera (PSTU)0.00% Eymael (DC)0.00% João Goulart Filho (PPL)0.00%	−79.99 pts	Left bloc	83.88%
2014 10/26/2014	Round 2	Dilma (PT)90.71% Aécio Neves (PSDB)9.29%	−81.42 pts	Left bloc	87.56%
2014 10/05/2014	Round 1	Dilma (PT)87.66% Marina Silva (PSB)6.03% Aécio Neves (PSDB)5.69% Luciana Genro (PSOL)0.45% +3 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06% Pastor Everaldo (PSC)0.06% Levy Fidelix (PRTB)0.06%	−88.39 pts	Left bloc	87.87%
2010 10/31/2010	Round 2	Dilma (PT)92.66% José Serra (PSDB)7.34%	−85.33 pts	Left bloc	76.77%
2010 10/03/2010	Round 1	Dilma (PT)90.23% Marina Silva (PV)5.19% José Serra (PSDB)4.28% Plínio (PSOL)0.24% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.06%	−91.45 pts	Left bloc	82.74%
2006 10/29/2006	Round 2	Lula (PT)93.45% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)6.55%	−86.90 pts	Left bloc	82.78%
2006 10/01/2006	Round 1	Lula (PT)89.80% Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB)7.35% Heloísa Helena (PSOL)1.48% Cristovam Buarque (PDT)1.11% +1 more Ana Maria Rangel (PRP)0.25%	−84.80 pts	Left bloc	84.37%
2002 10/27/2002	Round 2	José Serra (PSDB)63.98% Lula (PT)36.02%	+27.96 pts	Right bloc	79.57%
2002 10/06/2002	Round 1	José Serra (PSDB)48.24% Lula (PT)24.82% Ciro (PPS)16.08% Garotinho (PSB)10.69% +1 more Zé Maria (PSTU)0.16%	−3.51 pts	Left bloc	81.68%
1998 10/04/1998	Round 1	Fernando Henrique (PSDB)56.61% Ciro Gomes (PPS)23.53% Lula (PT)11.19% Brigadeiro Ivan Frota (PMN)2.80% +7 more Eymael (PSDC)1.25% Sirkis (PV)1.06% Zé Maria (PSTU)0.96% Enéas (PRONA)0.96% João de Deus Barbosa (PT do B)0.77% Vasco Neto (PSN)0.48% Sergio Bueno (PSC)0.39%	+19.38 pts	Right bloc	82.17%
1994 10/03/1994	Round 1	Fernando Henrique Cardoso (PSDB)88.65% Orestes Quercia (PMDB)5.33% Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (PT)3.76% Eneas Ferreira Carneiro (PRONA)1.40% +3 more Carlos Antonio Gomes (PRN)0.44% Hernani Goulart Fortuna (PSC)0.26% Leonel de Moura Brizola (PDT)0.17%	+92.14 pts	Right bloc	87.28%

Percentages of valid votes in the municipality. Turnout = voters over the electorate. Source: TSE.

When the municipality changed sides

2006(Round 2)·Right bloc→Left bloc

Other municipalities in the Pau dos Ferros immediate region

Find another municipality

Official TSE results by municipality (1994–2026); the 2026 runoff comes from the TSE's official results publication. Every municipality's index can be downloaded at /dados.